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Blog Entry

R.I.P.: 2011 New York Mets

Posted on: October 5, 2011 12:38 pm
Edited on: October 5, 2011 12:48 pm
 
MetsBy Evan Brunell

Another season gone, another disappointment for 29 teams as one is immortalized forever. Let’s take a look back at 2011 and forward in Eye on Baseball’s R.I.P. series...

Team name: New York Mets
Record: 77-85, 4th place, 25 GB
Manager: Terry Collins
Best hitter: Jose Reyes -- .337/.384/.493, 101 R, 39 SB
Best pitcher: R.A. Dickey -- 8-13, 208 2/3 IP, 3.28 ERA, 134 K, 54 BB

2011 SEASON RECAP

Coming into the season, no one expected the Mets to contend and the team did fans a favor by starting out 11-16 and setting expectations. The club rebounded to post three straight winning months largely on the strength of Reyes, Carlos Beltran and Dickey. There was some noise in the summer months about how New York could potentially finish .500, which would have been a resounding success, but once Beltran was traded and Reyes battled hamstring problems, New York quickly fell out of the race, with a season-worst 10-16 August and by then, it was just playing the string out.

2012 AUDIT

The Mets are still a couple of years away from contending, and 2012 will be much like 2011 in that GM Sandy Alderson needs to get the team in order moving forward to win. That means wiggling out of poor contracts (looking at you, Jason Bay) or finding players who can fit in New York. The free-agent market isn't robust, so for any significant changes, the Mets will need to turn to the trade market. Don't expect them to deal any of their heralded prospects, though, as these players are the future of New York. The club could use more pitching, but what team doesn't? Alderson will have a tough call on his hands this winter, deciding whether or not to bring back Jose Reyes as well as trade the face of the franchise, David Wright.

FREE AGENTS

Chris Capuano, SP
Scott Hairston, OF
Willie Harris, UTIL
Jason Isringhausen, RP
Jose Reyes, SS
Chris Young, SP

OFFSEASON FOCUS

  • It'll be difficult for fans to accept it, but Jose Reyes needs to walk. The amount of money that would be otherwise tied up in Reyes would be astronomical given his checkered injury history. In addition, as great a year as he had, it was also a career season, and he's only had two other seasons in which his OPS has been greater than .800. It's not the right investment for Alderson to make, especially since Reyes would fetch compensatory draft picks that can stock the Mets' farm system. To replace Reyes, the team shouldn't go for a silver bullet. No one can replace Reyes in the minds of fans, so they shouldn't even try. Instead, sign defensive wizard Clint Barmes, whom pitchers will love.
  • Keep David Wright. There's been scuttlebutt that the Mets might consider trading him, but New York needs to give fans at least one reason to come to the park. Deleting Wright wouldn't provide enough of a return coming off an injury-plagued and poor year. Start the year with Wright in the lineup and make him available in July.
  • Resign Chris Capuano. The lefty wants to be with the Mets, and he was more than capable in the back of the rotation. Someone who clearly wants to be with the Mets is a good thing right now.
  • Go with Ruben Tejada at second base permanently. The Mets need to figure out if they have a long-term answer at the position with Tejada, and playing him is the only way to find out. Daniel Murphy could also stick at the position if and when Ike Davis returns from his injuries.
  • Do nothing else. Yes, really. Look, this isn't a team that can contend in 2012. It just can't, and Alderson is not the type of GM who will trade away prospects important to the future just to slap a band-aid on the major league team. There is a significant crop of free agents coming in 2012, and the Mets need to save their money for then as well as work through the remaining questions on the roster. Jason Bay is entering a put-up or shut-up season for the Mets, Angel Pagan is looking to rebound, and there are two outfielders close to the majors that need to break in and get at-bats in Fernando Martinez and Kirk Nieuwenhuis. By this time next year, the Mets will have a clearer picture as to the future of the team, its top prospects will be that much closer to the majors,  a bountiful free-agent crop will await, and the Phillies will be another year older. It will take time, but Alderson can and will get the Mets back to relevancy.
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Comments

Since: Dec 27, 2007
Posted on: October 5, 2011 10:59 pm
 

R.I.P.: 2011 New York Mets

and there are two outfielders close to the majors that need to break in and get at-bats in Fernando Martinez and Kirk Nieuwenhuis
 This proves you know nothing about baseball. Fernando Martinez is finished as a Met. The Mets need to fill a CF position and he cannot play the positon. In fact, he makes Angel Pagan look like a gold glover. Duda is in RF and CF will be filled from outside the organization since Nieuwenhuis was hurt last year and probably isn't ready to start. Odds are he'll be @ AAA playing for wWlly Backman. Bay's in LF and the Mets top OF prospect is Cory Vaughn who will replace Bay in 2013. Martinez will either be a trade throw-in or playing RF @ AAA until he gets hurt 5 games into the season, then has season-ending surgery.


Angel Pagan is looking to rebound
 The Mets aren't bringing him back. They won't waste 5-6 million on him to hit .262 and miss every ball hit to his right. He also throws like Johnny Damon. Look for the Mets to trade for a CF. BJ Upton could be a possibility being he's in a walk year and would love to play with his buddy Wright. Murphy, Valdespin and Parnell could be sent with Martinez as a throw-in. Murphy could play 1B or DH for them, Parnell could be a set-up guy there(Collins has no faith in him here) and Valdespin could play 2B allowing Zobrist to go back to the OF or even play SS since Rodriguez has been a bust. Martinez is AAA filler. Upton would be a nice addition to the top of the line-up and is a good fielder. Tampa would get 3 or 4 players and little salary.

Do nothing else. Yes, really.
Uh no. How can you even call this analysis without speaking of the bullpen which was the worst in MLB and doesn't have a closer? The Mets will either trade for a closer or sign someone like Brad Lidge to an incentive-laden contrat. Alderson already said his 2012 closer isn't in the organization.  The Mets could try to pry Soria, but may have to settle for Lidge or perhaps Aardsma if he's healthy.





Since: Dec 27, 2007
Posted on: October 5, 2011 10:40 pm
 

RIP Evan Brunell


R.I.P.: Evan Brunell
   Hopefully, we'll never hear from you again. You are the ultimate definition of hack. You have no clue about baseball and your analysis is simply laughable. The only thing more laughable is the way you write.



Since: Jan 2, 2010
Posted on: October 5, 2011 4:21 pm
 

R.I.P.: 2011 New York Mets

Rollins is having a nice october for the phils, but if he falters or the phils let him go in FA then Put the phils in the hunt for Reyes especially if the mets let him walk. Long shot senario but hey it could happen...............



Since: Dec 1, 2006
Posted on: October 5, 2011 1:31 pm
 

R.I.P.: 2011 New York Mets

Great synopsis. Can't disagree with you any point. The pitching in the minors should produce at minimum 2 good starters (Harvery, Wheeler) along with Neise. I strongly believe Pelfrey needs to go, he is turning into Oliver Perez with his unreliability and it's getting old. I think Fernando Martinez has reached his peak though, his injuries and lack of production have been disheartening, it feels like he has been around for 15 years aleady.


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