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Blog Entry

Assessing the NFL free agency and trade QB market

Posted on: July 26, 2011 8:49 pm
Edited on: July 27, 2011 8:35 am
 
Posted by Will Brinson



We knew Tuesday's free-agency action wasn't going to be "calm." But man-oh-man did things heat up late, what with the Panthers dropping the equivalent of Charlotte's gross annual income on defensive end Charles Johnson, and the Redskins and Ravens making moves for their own free agents.

If anything, it showed that teams who have favorable relationships with their current players did get a bit of an advantage during this hectic offseason. But what about teams who need to find help -- specifically, quarterback help -- from the outside? Well, there's a market, but it's percolating more often than my coffee pot Tuesday.

So let's break down the values of the three biggest names out there, shall we?

Kevin Kolb
Kolb's the hottest target on the market, but is he the quarterback most guaranteed to succeed with a new team next year? Not necessarily, but it doesn't matter.

His value's done nothing but skyrocket since the lockout began, and it sure does seem like all the reports that he's locked into the Cardinals will come into fruition.

The Cardinals are reportedly keeping their options open -- Kent Somers of the Arizona Republic reported on Tuesday that Arizona was talking with Denver about Kyle Orton as well as discussing the possibility of adding Marc Bulger and Matt Hasselbeck -- but the reality is they're not just trying to secure a quarterback for 2011.

They're also trying to secure a quarterback for the future and make sure they don't risk losing superstar wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald to the open market should he become disgruntled.

Lest you think that matters to the Cardinals, who were in the Super Bowl just a few years ago, wait until push comes to shove and the marketplace starts to bear itself out.

For now, Arizona's front office can pretend to play chicken with the Eagles in a deal for Kolb. Once things become a little clearer and quarterbacks begin aligning with various teams (see: Seattle jumping on the bandwagon that is Tarvaris Jackson) there won't be nearly enough leverage hanging out there for the Cardinals to lean on.

Potential Suitors
: Arizona Cardinals, Miami Dolphins
Best Bet
: It's the Cards by a longshot now that the Seahawks are ruled out. Miami could come sprinting around the turn at the last minute, but at this point it would be a borderline surprise if Kolb wasn't traded to Arizona.

Kyle Orton
Orton's the de facto red herring for the Cards (see: above) apparently, but if you poll most folks, they'll probably at least agree he can be as productive in the right system as Kolb.

In fact, Orton's piled up more than 3,500 yards and 20 touchdowns each of the last two years. And get THIS: each of those years equated to a large total of both yardage and touchdowns than Kolb has in his entire career.

Yes I'm aware that Kolb's only started seven games in his four years in the league and, yes, I'm aware that he's had a rough go of things given that no one really saw Michael Vick usurping his would-be throne in Philly.

But none of that bad luck guarantees that he'll succeed any more than someone like Orton who has two clear-cut years of production in the right system.

My counting-stats rant aside, Kolb's still the top guy available, but there's definitely a market for Orton. And one spot that really makes sense is Miami, where the Dolphins have struggled since Dan Marino retired to find a suitable replacement under center.

Those struggles have manifested themselves in the continual wasting of second-round picks and -- lo and behold! -- that's exactly what everyone thinks Denver wants in return for Orton.

Rather than gambling on another rookie down the road, it seems reasonable that Miami could invest another second-rounder in Orton. Unless Stephen Ross is as obsessed with Vince Young as Bud Adams anyway.

Potential Suitors: Miami Dolphins, Arizona Cardinals
Best Bet
: The Fins. Orton's a better bet than either Vince Young or Matt Moore and, again, it's "just" a second-rounder.


Donovan McNabb
:
Which brings us to this guy. Poor Donovan hasn't had the easiest year in the world -- he's been mortified by Mike Shanhan and the Redskins coaching staff on national television (seriously: wouldn't you rather get pansted in DuPont Circle than get yanked mid-game for Rex Grossman?) and basically been castoff into free-agent oblivion.

There's even been talk of retirement. But the talk today has circled primarily around the Vikings. Which -- of course -- is where McNabb was supposed to go all along.

There was no deal finalized on Tuesday and/or even agreed to, but it's looking like Minnesota will bring in McNabb to try and provide a stabilizing veteran presence on the roster.

Christian Ponder's obviously the future, and I agree with my life coach Pete Prisco that he's the best-suited rookie quarterback to succeed from Day 1.

But that doesn't mean rookie coach Leslie Frazier shouldn't have a backup option in place should he find out that Ponder's not ready quite yet.

Plus, the two teams play on Christmas Eve, man. And that's something that just has to happen in terms of potential revenge games that may or may not feature McNabb running over Ponder's foot the week of the game just to get the start.

For all of that to even happen, though, McNabb's going to need to agree to work out a significant change in his contract. But if it gets him out of purgatory Washington, it's worth the lost money.

Potential Suitors: Minnesota Vikings
Best Bet: Vikings. It just doesn't seem likely that the Titans or Dolphins will step up and trade for McNabb. If he's released by Washington, this could all change but for now the Vikings appear to be the clear-cut leader in the clubhouse when it comes to Donovan's services.

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Comments
fghdfre
Since: Dec 2, 2011
Posted on: January 2, 2012 1:10 am
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Since: Dec 2, 2011
Posted on: December 27, 2011 4:41 am
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tomlye
Since: Nov 28, 2011
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Since: Sep 28, 2008
Posted on: July 27, 2011 1:30 pm
 

Assessing the NFL free agency and trade QB market

Mikesyr18, how many SBs has Minnesota won, again?  "Looks like Minnesota won't be winning a super bowl for at least the next few years."  Oh, so you claim that Ponder will win a SB in a year or two if he is allowed to start and the Queens don't pick up McNabb?  They couldn't even win when they had one of Favre's best seasons ever, but hey, you called it.
I'm not claming anything other than how Minnesota and their crappy domed stadium won't win a super bowl while Donvovan McNabb is there. He couldn't even win it in Philly. Do you think Minnesota/Donovan McNabb will win a super bowl when McNabb is past his prime and throwing 110 mph footballs to the ground or above him recievers heads while they're wide open?  Probably not. 



Since: Aug 7, 2009
Posted on: July 27, 2011 10:28 am
 

Assessing the NFL free agency and trade QB market

Even my Bengals aren't that desperate.



Since: Jul 2, 2009
Posted on: July 27, 2011 8:57 am
 

Assessing the NFL free agency and trade QB market

Im gonna keep posting this, like Ive done for a year now. 

Tarvaris Jackson vs Kevin Kolb.

26 yrs old, 7 starts, 2082 yards passing, 64 yards rushing,  11 TDs, 14 INTs, 73.2 QB rating

28 years old, 20 starts, 3,984 yards passing, 535 rushing, 24 Tds, 22INts, 76.6 QB rating

Which one is the hottest FA commodity and which one is a total joke?




Since: Jul 2, 2009
Posted on: July 27, 2011 8:48 am
 

Assessing the NFL free agency and trade QB market

Only starter of the bunch is Orton. 



Since: Sep 14, 2006
Posted on: July 27, 2011 8:04 am
 

Assessing the NFL free agency and trade QB market

Ok, there are too many terrible comments here for me to not correct someone.  Mikesyr18, how many SBs has Minnesota won, again?  "Looks like Minnesota won't be winning a super bowl for at least the next few years."  Oh, so you claim that Ponder will win a SB in a year or two if he is allowed to start and the Queens don't pick up McNabb?  They couldn't even win when they had one of Favre's best seasons ever, but hey, you called it.

Also, Brinson, please stop taking writing lessons from people on this site; reading stories with so many grammatical errors is just painful.



Since: Sep 29, 2006
Posted on: July 27, 2011 7:55 am
 

Assessing the NFL free agency and trade QB market

Kolb looked good before his injury last season and I really thought it was odd that Vick became the starter without Kolb having another opportuntiy when health returned. That being said, it would be a huge step up for the Cards to secure him but I still think there is a bit of unknown. The biggest upside is his early performance last season and his age.


I also would not be disappointed if the Cardinals ended up with with Hasselbeck. I don't believe his best years are behind him yet. Perhaps the Cards capture lightening in a bottle twice. Warner ressurected his career in the desert and the same , in my opinion, is possible with Hasselbeck.

I don't see Orton as the answer but those in support of him have most likely seen him play more than I.

McNabb, one year and done.



Since: Jan 2, 2007
Posted on: July 27, 2011 3:12 am
 

Assessing the NFL free agency and trade QB market

Lol.that's the real truthful answer that most fans don't even understand. They all blow,so it don't matter one bit.I'd rather have a 42 year old ga re then those horehounds


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