Blog Entry

Chris Johnson not likely to show up any time soon

Posted on: August 15, 2011 7:09 pm
Edited on: August 16, 2011 10:13 am
Posted by Josh Katzowitz

Apparently, Titans RB Chris Johnson doesn’t just want top-tier running back money in order to end his holdout from Tennessee camp. He wants top-tier NFL player money. That’s the word from, which reports that there are no signs the Johnson-Titans impasse will end anytime soon.

Johnson's Contract Journey
Although the Titans have stated they’re willing to make Johnson the highest-paid RB in the league -- if you were looking for comparisons, Adrian Peterson will make $10.7 million this year, and the Panthers gave DeAngelo Williams $21 million guaranteed this offseason -- they actually haven’t made a formal offer to Johnson’s agent.

Meanwhile, Johnson, whose base salary for 2011 is $800,000, says he wants $30 million guaranteed for his next contract, and he’s willing to lose a year of accrued free agency to do it. It should be noted that Tennessee gave Johnson a raise to end his holdout last year, so when the Titans say they won’t negotiate with Johnson if he’s not in camp, it’s questionable whether they mean it.

Especially since we all know how important Johnson is to their cause.

Otherwise, the Titans will feature Javon Ringer, who hurt himself in Tennessee’s first preseason game and missed Monday's practice, as their starting RB. Which might not be a terrible thing, because it seems like the coaching staff and players are impressed at Ringer’s talent (even if the awesomeness of Johnson has blocked most everybody else from seeing it).

But Tennessee also doesn’t know exactly what it’s getting if the Titans need to get him 25 carries a game. With Johnson, they do.

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Since: May 31, 2007
Posted on: August 15, 2011 8:15 pm

Chris Johnson not likely to show up any time soon

I'm with Wiseguy1991 on this one.  It's not a matter of whether he's a good guy, or the best RB in the league, or any of that.  It's that RB is a position where a catastrophic injury can happen more quickly and easily than anywhere else.  Also, it's the position with the most sudden dropoff at the end of the career (i.e. one year they're great, the next they're mediocre at best, and that's the end of it).

It's easy to say "30M guaranteed over a 6-year contract" (although the 30M is just the guaranteed.... I'm sure he expects other money in there as well).  But the truth from a business standpoint is that you have to consider the likelihood (high) that he won't make it 6 years.  The odds for a running back are such that out of a 6-year contract at his age, you will get 2-3 out of him at that level of production.  The rest will be eaten up by injuries, decline in skill, etc.  In other words, when signing a RB, the GM really only should be focused on the first 2 years of the contract, and what you're paying for that.  Because that's where you're most likely to get productive return on investment.  So if you're going to give the guy a base $1 mil salary, but $30 mil in guarantees, you have to think of that as $30mil + $2mil for the first 2 years = $32mil = $16mil per year.  If he's worth that, then pay him... and if he makes it 3+ years you come out ahead on the investment.  If he's not worth that, then trade him off for good value and plug in the next guy.  Finding decent RB's isn't that tough (even if they aren't nearly CJ's level), and you can use that money elsewhere to improve the team when the time comes.

I don't blame CJ for wanting to make the money now.  He knows how short his career at that position will probably be.  But the truth of the matter is simply that it's not a wise place for most teams to invest too much of their salary cap, because the risks are too high, and the rewards too short-term.

Since: Mar 15, 2011
Posted on: August 15, 2011 7:57 pm

$30 million -- Guaranteed!!!

If his agent / attorney gets that deal, he should start wearing a cape with a big S instead of a suit!  That would be major money!!!

Since: Apr 1, 2010
Posted on: August 15, 2011 7:43 pm

Chris Johnson not likely to show up any time soon

This clown is a dbag!  Let him and his fruity grill go.  Some retard team(prob. from some crappy team) will pay him that and he will never be in the playoffs.  

Since: Feb 1, 2007
Posted on: August 15, 2011 7:38 pm

Chris Johnson not likely to show up any time soon

Okay so the Titans give him a 6 year deal with 30 mil guaranteed, what is the big deal.  It seems about right.  This is the last contract of his career, and with RB, they need their money upfront more than any other position.

Let's say it is a 30 mil deal over 6 years; 1st 1.5 Mil, Y2 3.0, Y3 4.5, Y4 3.5 Y5 3.0 Y6 1.5.  That is a 6 yr 47 mil contract, not out of bonds for a player of his calibar.  The avg salary takes him to about 8 mil a year, with y6 at 1.5, something the team could handle even if he is relagated to back up at that point.  Worse case, ad 1 mil a year and take the deal up to a 53 mil with 9 mil a year.

This seems pretty easy to figure out.     

Since: Nov 24, 2009
Posted on: August 15, 2011 7:35 pm

Chris Johnson not likely to show up any time soon

I'm a HUGE Cowboy fan anbd went thru this with Emmit or Irvin, it seems like every year. Now worries Titans, or CJ fans for that matter...worse case scenario he misses tow games and comes back and wins the russhing title anyway....I mean, they are not going anywhere in the AFC anyway.....Its just fantasy owners who are really worried, LOL!! Just be sure to have a Plan B for about two weeks or so....

Since: Nov 20, 2006
Posted on: August 15, 2011 7:35 pm

Chris Johnson not likely to show up any time soon

The Titans would be stupid to pay him what he wants. They might as well trade him to a team (that's stupid enough to pay a RB that sort of money) for some good picks and a starting RB.

Since: Oct 30, 2007
Posted on: August 15, 2011 7:32 pm

Chris Johnson not likely to show up any time soon

I don't care that 'this is what the market value is' for pro athletes.  I don't care that he's one of the best.  This right here is what absolutely disgusts me about professional sports and the people playing them.  Show of hands:  Who here on the boards makes $800k for 16 weeks of work?  Hell, who makes ust $80k for 16 weeks?  And he's refusing to work until he gets $30 MILLION!!  The Titans should just tell him to take a hike and then give THE FANS $30 million worth of discounts on tickets for the year.  I gaurantee you THAT would put more butts in seats than Chris Johnson would.

Since: Sep 10, 2006
Posted on: August 15, 2011 7:31 pm

Chris Johnson not likely to show up any time soon

Maybe so but if Deangelo Williams is getting 21 million....CJ2K should get 42 million...He is twice the RB that Deangelo is....I am sure CJ will take less than 30 but he should be over 21 mill

Since: Sep 17, 2007
Posted on: August 15, 2011 7:28 pm

Chris Johnson not likely to show up any time soon

I can't stand to see teams playing these games with proven players. The Panthers just gave DWilliams $21M guaranteed and the Titans have publicly stated they want to pay CJ. CJ claims they have not even received an offer from the Titans. That is stupid on Tenn! Pay the man and get him in camp. They will end up paying him anyway and risk CJ injuring himself. Dumb.

Since: Oct 23, 2006
Posted on: August 15, 2011 7:27 pm

Chris Johnson not likely to show up any time soon

The bottom line is that RBs just are not worth that kind of money..sad but true.

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