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Blog Entry

For the gambler in you, Week 10

Posted on: November 12, 2011 7:25 pm
Edited on: November 14, 2011 11:04 pm
 
Posted by Josh Katzowitz

Each Saturday, we’ll take the best -- and most clever -- odds collected by bodog.com for the upcoming week and give our take. This is important stuff, perhaps the most important post you’ll read all week. Because if you can’t lose money while watching a game in which you have absolutely no effect, what’s the point of watching sports at all?

Will Aaron Rodgers break the single season passing record of 5084 yards? (Note: He’s on pace for 5,238 yards) 

Yes 3/1    

Rodgers can’t continue to be this superhuman, can he? He has to slip up at least once or twice this year, right? I’d go with no, but I also wouldn’t feel very confident about that pick.

Will Patrick Peterson break the single season punt return touchdown Record of four? (Note: He currently has three through eight games)

Yes 4/1

We’re halfway through the season, and Peterson can’t figure out why teams continue to punt to him. But you know what? Teams occasionally still punt to Devin Hester -- and he, along with Gale Sayers -- are the two best kick returners of all time. Peterson might not get as many chances, but he’ll get some. And he’s so damn good, I think he could notch two more. I’d go yes, even if it’s a bit of a longshot.

Odds to win the 2011 MVP?      

Aaron Rodgers (GB) QB 1/4

Matt Forte (CHI) RB 7/1

Drew Brees (NO) QB 12/1

Eli Manning (NYG) QB 12/1

Frank Gore (SF) RB 12/1

Tom Brady (NE) QB 12/1

Calvin Johnson (DET) WR 15/1

Ben Roethlisberger (PIT) QB 22/1

LeSean McCoy (PHI) RB 30/1

Adrian Peterson (MIN) RB 30/1

Obviously, Rodgers is the easy call, but at 1/4, you’re going to have to lay a ton of money in order to make any money back. If you want a long shot, I’d go Frank Gore. He’s been one of the most underrated players this season, and after a slow start, he’s rushed for 100-plus yards in each of the past five games. Since the 49ers could well end up with more than 12 wins, doesn’t Gore deserves some consideration?

When will the San Francisco 49ers clinch the NFC West division?
      
Week 11 5/1

Week 12 3/1

Week 13 3/2

Week 14 11/2

Week 15 9/1

Week 16 12/1

Week 17 20/1

In this weak division, I’ll go early. Week 12 sounds good to me.

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Comments

Since: May 15, 2007
Posted on: November 13, 2011 11:58 am
 

For the gambler in you, Week 10

And with the Aaron Rodgers pick.  'I'll say no, but I won't feel very confident about that.'  That is seriously some garbage.

If you are looking to gamble this week here are my favorite picks on bodog

Steelers -3  Defending AFC Champs and they are really coming into their groove lately.  The Bengals are playing great considering they are being led by two rookies on offense, but that is what will be their undoing as the Steelers will pressure Dalton all day and Benson is not strong enough to carry his team by himself.

Broncos +3.5 and over 41 for that game.  I can't say for sure that the Broncos will win, but Tebow is the type of quarterback who finds ways to put points on the board.  Against the Chiefs the Broncos should have no trouble scoring 20 points, and if they do that you will be guaranteed to win at least one of those bets.  The Chiefs are unpredictable and it wouldn't be surprising to anyone to see them score 3 points or 30 points.  If you bet on both those lines, I like your chances of at worst breaking even.

Ravens -7  The Ravens are proving they might be the class of the AFC and are dominant on both sides of the ball.  The Seahawks on the other hand are average all around.  Their run game is decent, but their passing attack is laughable.  They will be lucky to get to 10 points, while the Ravens should have no trouble getting easy points off of turnovers and big plays from Ray Rice.



Since: Nov 25, 2006
Posted on: November 12, 2011 10:38 pm
 

For the gambler in you, Week 10

This is garbage, "Patrick Peterson is so good, I'd go with yes". This is why people lose money. How about do some analysis on who is left on the schedule, how their punt units rank, how  many TD's they've given up. Peterson returned one on the Rams, does that mean he will do it again? Show me some numbers, not your gut feeling.

Also, "In this weak division, I'll go early. Week 12 sounds good to me." That says to me, "Welp I'll give it my best guess and hope it works out." This is REALLY EASY to analyze. Tell me who is on the 49ers schedule, and who is on the schedule of the rest of the division and how this could play out.

CBS should pay me to write a gambling blog every week on football and college basketball. Not saying I am right 100% of the time, but I can at least give you enough information for people to make their own WELL THOUGHT OUT decisions. Maybe I will start writing my own blog on here, I spend enough time agonizing over the lines anyways.


The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com