Blog Entry

Casserly: No 'scenario where Manning is traded'

Posted on: December 11, 2011 1:01 pm
Edited on: December 11, 2011 1:14 pm
By Will Brinson

It's widely believed that the Colts will land the No. 1 pick in the 2012 NFL Draft and use that selection to grab Stanford's Andrew Luck, who's all but said he's leaving school.

The bigger question is what the Colts will do with incumbent franchise quarterback Peyton Manning, who's likely done for the year, but due $28 million in early March.

CBS Sports Charley Casserly reported on Sunday that Manning's rehab is progressing, the Colts could potentially seek an extension on the deadline for that expensive option, and that he "doesn't see a scenario" where the Colts deal Manning elsewhere.

"This past week he was jogging on a treadmill and doing some light throwing," Casserly said on The NFL Today. "The Colts have not lost hope that they can get him back on the practice field before the season but there's no guarantee of that.

"If he's healthy in March, I expect them to pay him the $28 million they owe him and extend his contract by four years. If he's not healthy, I think what the Colts will look to do is ask for an extension of that deadline to pay the bonus with the hope that he will be more healthy later on to do it.

"Finally, I don't see any scenario where Peyton Manning is traded."

If Manning's willing to renegotiate the deadline for the payment based on his health, the Colts could end up with the best of both worlds, as they'd be able to properly evaluate Manning's health closer to the point at which they'd need to draft Luck.

Additionally, the Colts would have the option of exploring draft-day trade possibilities with other teams that might want to pay the hefty bounty required to obtain that top pick.

Regardless of how things play out, "the Manning decision" is a monumental, franchise-changing one, but the Colts ability to make a call will be greatly improved by their ability to further evaluate Manning's health without committing substantial financial resources to keeping him on the roster.

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Since: Jun 21, 2007
Posted on: December 20, 2011 4:49 pm

Casserly: No 'scenario where Manning is traded'

If I'm the Colts, I have to worry about not only the stability of the neck but also his range of motion.   My concern however is the durability of Manning especially after the fusion (each segment of the mid/lower cervical spine provides roughly 7degrees of rotation).  Now, to you and I, 7 degrees may mean nothing, however it may be the difference between a bone crushing hit and a pass.  Manning would have to turn his shoulders more while scanning the field which would effectively result in a loss of peripheral sight.  I would not be willing to mortgage another year in the hopes that Manning can return to form.  I would much rather take the plunge and start fresh with a new qb.  It has worked well for my Lions!

Since: Sep 30, 2008
Posted on: December 20, 2011 12:38 pm

Casserly: No 'scenario where Manning is traded'

Remember Montana & Steve Young in the eighties.  Montana was injured and ageing.  Yuong was just waiting.  Yes the money was different in those days but as you all remember Montana was traded to the Chiefs and Young won the 1995 Superbowl.

Manning is different if not for money alone.  I say trae the #1 pick If mqanning is healthy yu get thre to four good years from him. The Colts have a chance o rebuild from that.

Since: Nov 6, 2009
Posted on: December 20, 2011 9:13 am

Casserly: No 'scenario where Manning is traded'

I agree in part.  The Duncan pick was incredible.  However, the true benefit was the Admiral and Duncan were able to play on the floor at the same time.  I think, Duncan played PF and The Admiral C.  In the Colts case, they can only play one QB at a time.  And realistically, you would not pull Manning out of the game for select Luck plays, for example how teams pull the QB to use the Wildcat formation.  If Luck is NFL-ready than he should start day one.  I love Manning; however, if one wrong hit could end his playing days (and yes, technically that is true of any NFL player) than you need a backup plan.  If you keep Manning, than trade the 1st overall pick for players and/or picks, and draft a defensive stud.  You cannot keep Manning, in his current contract, and have Luck sitting two or three years.  The cap hit if you cut Manning would be extremely high.  Plus, in the case of Aaron Rogers, he was the 24th pick, not the 1st pick.  There is a major difference in player and fan expectations between those two draft picks.

Since: Aug 30, 2007
Posted on: December 12, 2011 10:20 am

Casserly: No 'scenario where Manning is traded'

I see a Ricky Williams type trade for Luck with the Skins, Miami, Seahawks, or possibly even the Jags. I bet the Cardinals are really regretting that Kolb deal now.

Since: Sep 16, 2008
Posted on: December 12, 2011 10:12 am

Casserly: No 'scenario where Manning is traded'

Manning has single-handedly turned the Colts franchise into a winning franchise. If Irsay is dumb enough to trade him (whic is always a possibility) it would be one of the biggest blunders in the NFL. As a Colts fan I would love to see Luck and Manning both suited up in Colts uniforms. However, best case for Indy is to trade the first pick and get everything they can for it. Hopefully improve the linebacking core, defensive backs, or offensive line. If Tom Brady has shown anything it's that a good QB can go late in a draft. Ryan Leaf prooves the opposite. Trade the pick and let Manning lead the Colts to the promise land

Since: Apr 15, 2008
Posted on: December 12, 2011 2:01 am

Casserly: No 'scenario where Manning is traded'

Skins will make a move for the pick 

Since: Dec 5, 2007
Posted on: December 12, 2011 1:46 am

Casserly: No 'scenario where Manning is traded'

How anyone can even pretend Peyton will be traded is beyond my comprehension.  The Colts aren't a young rebuilding team.  They are an aging veteran team.  However, with Manning they're a playoff team.  He comes back next year, lights it up, and everyone forgets this thought of trading him even existed.  

Since: Oct 14, 2011
Posted on: December 12, 2011 12:55 am

Casserly: No 'scenario where Manning is traded'

Nothing will matter as long as Jim Caldweld is still coach.  The chances Luck will be a great QB is very low, because te experts are wrong the vast majority of the time.  Fire Caldwell, Trade the pick and move Chris Polian to another role.

Since: Oct 11, 2007
Posted on: December 11, 2011 11:52 pm

Casserly: No 'scenario where Manning is traded'

The situation in Indianapolis reminds me so much of San Antonio the year Tim Duncan was drafted.  The Admiral was hurt the entire season and because of that, the Spurs were hapless.  That allowed them to draft with the #1 pick (Tim Duncan) in that year's draft.  With those two as cornerstones, they dominated for years to come.  Meanwhile, the Colts should be sure that Manning can play at least 3-4 more years before deciding to trade the Luck pick away.  The booty they could generate from that trade could be astronomical and benefit Indianapolis much like San Antonio, for years to come.  That  being said, a trade of Manning could bring other top quality players and strengthen the Colts similarly.  It's a no lose situation for Indy for suffering one, single nightmarish season.  Not sure that plays well with me.

Since: Jan 28, 2008
Posted on: December 11, 2011 10:24 pm

Casserly: No 'scenario where Manning is traded'

I say send him to the desert, where he can enjoy all the sunshine he wants. the warm weather will do great for his neck. If healthy, i would trade 1st round picks in the next 3 years for him. peyton manning/larry fitzgerald DAMN!!! it would never happen, but a guy can dream!!!

The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or