The Colts are believed to be locked in on the No. 1 overall pick in the 2012 NFL Draft. (And, thusly, locked into Andrew Luck, the top prospect on Rob Rang's big board.)
But not so fast, my friends -- Indy still hasn't technically "won" the first pick in the draft, because of their win Sunday over the Titans. In fact, they haven't even locked in a top-two pick in the draft, although they could do so on Thursday if they lost to Houston.
According to Matt Pomeroy of the NFL Network, a loss Thursday for the Colts eliminates the Rams from contention for the No. 1 pick. However, the Vikings are still in play -- if Indy then beat Jacksonville, their best possible strength of schedule would be equal to Minnesota's worst possible strength of schedule.
So if the Vikes lose out, Indy goes 1-1 and everything strength-of-schedule wise breaks correctly, the Colts and Vikings would have a coin toss to determine who gets the rights to draft and/or trade the rights to draft Luck.
The odds still heavily favor the Colts, especially considering the Texans will be pushing for a bye in the AFC and Indy's inability to stop the run.
For Bill Polian, who seems unsure whether about his 2012 situation, that's probably a good thing.
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