Blog Entry

Colts loss to Texans Thursday locks in top-2 pick

Posted on: December 20, 2011 8:18 pm
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By Will Brinson

The Colts are believed to be locked in on the No. 1 overall pick in the 2012 NFL Draft. (And, thusly, locked into Andrew Luck, the top prospect on Rob Rang's big board.)

But not so fast, my friends -- Indy still hasn't technically "won" the first pick in the draft, because of their win Sunday over the Titans. In fact, they haven't even locked in a top-two pick in the draft, although they could do so on Thursday if they lost to Houston.

According to Matt Pomeroy of the NFL Network, a loss Thursday for the Colts eliminates the Rams from contention for the No. 1 pick. However, the Vikings are still in play -- if Indy then beat Jacksonville, their best possible strength of schedule would be equal to Minnesota's worst possible strength of schedule.

So if the Vikes lose out, Indy goes 1-1 and everything strength-of-schedule wise breaks correctly, the Colts and Vikings would have a coin toss to determine who gets the rights to draft and/or trade the rights to draft Luck.


The odds still heavily favor the Colts, especially considering the Texans will be pushing for a bye in the AFC and Indy's inability to stop the run.

For Bill Polian, who seems unsure whether about his 2012 situation, that's probably a good thing.

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Comments
hootyeek
Since: Dec 21, 2011
Posted on: December 21, 2011 10:09 am
This comment has been removed.

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Since: Oct 20, 2011
Posted on: December 21, 2011 8:19 am
 

Colts loss to Texans Thursday locks in top-2 pick

I agree with you, players know the second they take the edge they're a huge risk to get injured.  Plus in the NFL it's hard for anyone to predict that they'll be with a team next year let alone two years to care about any success the team may have in the future, so they're playing for their own lives and contracts.  These are not fans, they're not concerned about the long term future of the Colts, not should they be with the avg career being 2.5 years or whatever.   



Since: Apr 14, 2011
Posted on: December 20, 2011 8:59 pm
 

Colts loss to Texans Thursday locks in top-2 pick

I refuse to believe a football team would tank games for draft position.  These guys are professionals and will play for pride.  I find it hard to believe a veteran player would lay down for the draft rights to a college kid/rookie.  Even if ownership were to encourage players to tank, the word would get back to the commissioner's office and he would enforce severe sanctions on the franchise such as forfeiting a first round draft pick if not the whole draft.   Scouts will know the players who turtle and those reptiles will have a hard time landing a job

The Colts have finally tasted victory and I don't think they will want to taste defeat if they can avoid it.


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