Blog Entry

Barkley back to USC shakes up top of 2012 Draft

Posted on: December 22, 2011 4:12 pm
Edited on: December 22, 2011 4:22 pm
Matt Barkley's decision to stay at USC shakes up the 2012 NFL Draft. (Getty Images)
By Will Brinson

On Thursday afternoon, USC quarterback Matt Barkley, the No. 2 quarterback in the draft and the second-ranked player on Rob Rang's Big Board, announced that he would return to Southern California for his senior year. The news wasn't shocking given the heavy Wednesday rumors that Barkley would be a Trojan in 2012 (plus, when has Matt Leinart ever been wrong?), but it does dramatically change the landscape of the 2012 NFL Draft.

2012 NFL Draft

In 2011, a whopping four teams -- the Panthers, Vikings, Titans and Jaguars -- drafted a quarterback in the top 15. Even with that heavy influx of young quarterbacks, another three quarterbacks -- Barkley, Stanford's Andrew Luck, and Baylor's Robert Griffin, III -- were still projected to be drafted by teams in the top 10.

That's because a large number of NFL teams still need a franchise quarterback. The Dolphins and Redskins are desperate for a top-end signal-caller, the Browns are believed to be interested in upgrading from Colt McCoy, the Seahawks employ Tavaris Jackson and the coach who recruited Barkley to USC, the Bills might regret giving Ryan Fitzpatrick a pile of money, the Broncos aren't guaranteed to have Tim Tebow's back in 2012, 49ers are considered a prime suitor for a long-term solution, and the Cardinals could be interested in moving along from Kevin Kolb as early as 2012.

Of course, all these teams will be drafting from a board that won't likely feature Luck, as he's all but guaranteed to end up with the Colts, who have a better than 50 percent chance of landing Luck.

That's the definition of supply not meeting demand and other teams at the top of the draft were poised to take advantage of it -- the Vikings, Rams, Jaguars, Buccaneers and Panthers are all teams that currently hold valuable top-10 picks that would have been worth dealing down to other teams who wanted to move up and grab a quarterback in exchange for a package of picks

Instead, with Barkley out of the draft and RG3 reportedly not guaranteed to leave Baylor, the market could fall flat. The Colts aren't likely to move out of the top spot, and in order to nab Griffin -- if he comes out -- a team would probably have to hope to hop the Browns into either the second or third spot of the draft in order to grab the quarterback.

At the very least, someone desperate to get Griffin would need to leapfrog both the Dolphins and Redskins in order to get the second-best quarterback prospect, and that's not exactly a cheap endeavor.

There are other quarterbacks in the draft that are interesting, but not many that could warrant a first-round selection like Barkley. If Griffin ends up staying at Baylor another year, teams hoping to land a big-time quarterback prospect with their first-round pick are going to be left looking like the Monopoly man.

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Since: Dec 23, 2011
Posted on: December 23, 2011 11:08 am
This comment has been removed.

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Since: May 6, 2009
Posted on: December 22, 2011 10:11 pm

Barkley back to USC shakes up top of 2012 Draft

Barkley could be the face of the draft next year not being in the shadow of Luck is probably the reason. That along with not being able to compete in a bowl game.

Since: Oct 23, 2006
Posted on: December 22, 2011 8:17 pm

Barkley back to USC shakes up top of 2012 Draft

Matt Barkley staying at USC for another year or not is a zero factor for the Seahawks and even more so for the 49ers. When the year ends it is more likely that Dallas or the Giants have a better shot at drafting a QB than Seattle will. Even more so for the 49ers, and Harbaugh thinks Alex Smith should be in the Pro Bowl. I do not think either team should be brought up in QB talk. I think both coaches are looking to get as much out of Jackson and Smith as they can, while they build inpenatrable Defenses, and pounding running games. That said, the positive here for Seattle is they get another year to develop Tavaris, and if things just do not gel and they fall apart, they still could have a shot at Barkley in 2013. I think though that both Seattle and th e49ers will continue to improve and neither will be in a position to draft a top tiered QB if they wanted one or not.  

Since: Feb 21, 2008
Posted on: December 22, 2011 8:09 pm

Barkley back to USC shakes up top of 2012 Draft

You are wrong on one account.   Twelve months later he will still be drafted by a bottom feeder, because he is likely to be the best QB in the following draft.   Because there will always be 4 - 6 teams with a bad record, and half of them, will be looking for a top flight QB

Since: Oct 24, 2011
Posted on: December 22, 2011 7:58 pm

Barkley back to USC shakes up top of 2012 Draft

I agree with most of your post.  However, if he comes out next year he will still be drafted by a "bottom-feeder".  Also, Luck should not pull an "Elway" as he will be seen as a "prima donna".  Those of us old enough to remember when Elway entered the league, remember thinking "who does this kid think he is?"

Since: Apr 4, 2009
Posted on: December 22, 2011 7:14 pm

Barkley back to USC shakes up top of 2012 Draft

Good for you Matt!  By sticking around for one (1) more year, this future NFL QB will : a) earn his college degree; b) give USC a chance to contend for the BCS championship in 2013; c) have a shot at winning the Heisman trophy; d) not be drafted by a bottom-feeder team with no real plans to progress, because "we want to build around our QB".

Andrew Luck should do the same and come back for a graduate degree.  That way he won't end up in the Peyton "Place" Manning soap-opera in Indianapolis.  Pull a "John Elway" .  He was from Stanford and refused to be drafted by the Colts!!!

Since: Aug 31, 2009
Posted on: December 22, 2011 6:34 pm

Barkley back to USC shakes up top of 2012 Draft

I would rather draft Charles Barklley

Since: Nov 20, 2007
Posted on: December 22, 2011 6:30 pm

Barkley back to USC shakes up top of 2012 Draft

In other words, get ready for more Rex Grossman next year, Redskins fans!

Since: Aug 23, 2007
Posted on: December 22, 2011 6:24 pm

Barkley back to USC shakes up top of 2012 Draft

Bruinboy, you don't know what your talking about. Barkley is as good as or better the Carson Palmer. I think you need to keep your
mouth shut becuase it is painfully obvious that your butt is still steaming from that 50-0 shalacking that the Trojans put on your awful

Matt Barkley, when he leaves USC will have a chance to be the greatest Trojan ever. So please, again, shut your mouth and go back
to your weak program. As a matter of fact, your program needs to discontinued. There is no point in UCLA having a football
program. No one wants to go there. California talent either goes to USC, Oregon, Boise St., Washington or Oregon St. Not some third
ranked school like UCLA.

Since: Dec 10, 2010
Posted on: December 22, 2011 5:44 pm

Barkley back to USC shakes up top of 2012 Draft

... Matt Barkley is much more like Matt Leinart than Mark Sanchez, his receivers are not only good, they are incredible.  Overall, USC has a really good balanced football team ... all of that makes Matt Barkley look good.  But he is fool's gold at the NFL level.  Either way, he absolutely made the RIGHT choice.  You can only be a senior QB once, what's not to like about being the big man on campus?

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