Blog Entry

Super Bowl XLVI Odds: Patriots favored by 3.5

Posted on: January 22, 2012 11:50 pm
Edited on: January 23, 2012 11:30 am
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Brady and the Pats are early 3.5-point favorites in Vegas. (Getty Images)
By Will Brinson

The Super Bowl matchup is set -- we've got all the best storylines in Sorting the Sunday Pile -- and the Patriots and Giants will square off in a rematch of the epic 2007 Super Bowl.

Championship Weekend Recap

The odds won't be tilted quite as heavily towards the Patriots this time, though, as New England's been installed as "only" a three-point favorite according to Sportsbook.com. R.J. Bell of PreGame.com notes that the Patriots are a 3.5-point favorite.

When the two teams met in 2007, the Patriots closed as 12-point favorites in Vegas, but, of course, ultimately ended up losing straight-up.

Bell notes that the Vegas favorite has won 33 of 45 Super Bowls in NFL history, or 73 percent of the games played.

"Historically, the point-spread is an unmatched predictor of NFL games," Bell notes.

Currently, the over/under for the Super Bowl is a whopping 55.5 points according to Sportsbook, which means Vegas expects to see plenty of scoring from the two teams. That's no surprise given the Eli Manning-Tom Brady matchup and the pair of explosive offenses featured by the two teams.

Speaking of big numbers, Bell projects that over $10 billion -- yes, with a "b" -- will be wagered on this year's Super Bowl.

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Comments

Since: Jan 8, 2007
Posted on: January 23, 2012 4:57 pm
 

Super Bowl XLVI Odds: Patriots favored by 3.5

It's been 4 years.  Get over it.

And you keep forgetting about how Eli eluded a sack to throw that ball up before Tyree made the miracle catch.

If Brady had thrown that ball to Welker, you'd still be talking about what a great play it was - so please, get over it already. The Pats lost.  They, and all of their fans, expected to walk over the Giants, and they LOST. -Zaber

...it’s amazing how, in four short years, that egregious Giants holding play has turned into Eli lore for the world’s most obnoxious fans; New Yorkers.

The only thing that separates you ladies from bandwagon Miami or LA fans is that even when your teams blow, you still think they're world-beaters.  Get over yourselves.  Please.






Since: Jan 23, 2012
Posted on: January 23, 2012 2:32 pm
 

Super Bowl XLVI Odds: Patriots favored by 3.5

The only way the Raiders will get to another Super Bowl is if they buy tickets. Raidahzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Suuuuuuuuuuck!!



Since: Jul 25, 2008
Posted on: January 23, 2012 2:00 pm
 

Super Bowl XLVI Odds: Patriots favored by 3.5

giants should be favored by 3.5. patriots will get blown out.....raidahzzzzzzzzzzzz



Since: Aug 20, 2007
Posted on: January 23, 2012 12:57 pm
 

Super Bowl XLVI Odds: Patriots favored by 3.5

Please tell us oh wise one, , will the Giants use their hands in this game to catch the ball, or their helmets...again.?


It's been 4 years.  Get over it.

And you keep forgetting about how Eli eluded a sack to throw that ball up before Tyree made the miracle catch.

If Brady had thrown that ball to Welker, you'd still be talking about what a great play it was - so please, get over it already. The Pats lost.  They, and all of their fans, expected to walk over the Giants, and they LOST.



Since: May 25, 2011
Posted on: January 23, 2012 11:59 am
 

Super Bowl XLVI Odds: Patriots favored by 3.5

Which Giants DB's are banged up?  the same one's that held rodgers to 20 pts (14 by the refs) and shut out Falcons?  I see one team scoring a lot and it ain't the Pats. Who are they going to match up on Cruz and Nicks?  D line will not get anywhere near the amount of pressure that the Niners line got on Manning.  Same could be said about Pats TEs but I think everyone will agree that the Giatns are a much more explosive team with a much tougher Defense.  I say thank you to the oddsmakers for continuing the trend of making the Gmen the underdogs. But didn't they win in Foxboro earlier this year without Nicks and without Bradshaw?  Yep, they did...


Well I guess thats it, there is no sense in playing the Superbowl, the nflguru has it all figured out for us. At least he's not making injury excuses for his DB's. Lets all run out and find a bookie and put $500. on the Giants to win. Thanks nflguru we all need the money. 
Please tell us oh wise one, , will the Giants use their hands in this game to catch the ball, or their helmets...again.?



Since: Feb 1, 2011
Posted on: January 23, 2012 11:41 am
 

Super Bowl XLVI Odds: Patriots favored by 3.5

Yes they won without Nicks and Bradshaw, but it helped that Ballard had a monster game and the Giants won the turnover battle 4-2. The Pats outgained the Giants and it came down to a last minute drive to decide it. I look for an evenly matched game with lots of scoring and again the winner will be the team that has an advantage on turnovers.



Since: Aug 20, 2007
Posted on: January 23, 2012 10:06 am
 

Super Bowl XLVI Odds: Patriots favored by 3.5

I'm waiting for another "We're only going to score 17 points?" moment..



Since: Aug 31, 2008
Posted on: January 23, 2012 9:25 am
 

Super Bowl XLVI Odds: Patriots favored by 3.5

Which Giants DB's are banged up?  the same one's that held rodgers to 20 pts (14 by the refs) and shut out Falcons?  I see one team scoring a lot and it ain't the Pats. Who are they going to match up on Cruz and Nicks?  D line will not get anywhere near the amount of pressure that the Niners line got on Manning.  Same could be said about Pats TEs but I think everyone will agree that the Giatns are a much more explosive team with a much tougher Defense.  I say thank you to the oddsmakers for continuing the trend of making the Gmen the underdogs. But didn't they win in Foxboro earlier this year without Nicks and without Bradshaw?  Yep, they did...



Since: Mar 31, 2008
Posted on: January 23, 2012 9:02 am
 

Super Bowl XLVI Odds: Patriots favored by 3.5

Two great quarterbacks plus Giants db's banged up makes for plenty scoring.


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