Blog Entry

CBSSports.com's Super Bowl XLVI predictions

Posted on: February 4, 2012 10:00 am
Edited on: February 4, 2012 11:18 am
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Super Bowl XLVI Preview: Will the Patriots get revenge this time around or will the Giants continue their run to another title?

Gregg Doyel

I've never felt so good about a pick in my life, because I've never seen anything as rock-solid as the New York Giants in Super Bowl XLVI. The Giants have already beaten the Patriots this season, at New England, and they did it despite the unavailability of leading rusher Ahmad Bradshaw and 1,000-yard receiver Hakeem Nicks. Plus, the Patriots weren't playing that game with receivers Julian Edelman and Matthew Slater forced to play key roles at defensive back, as will be the case Sunday.  

Forget what Vegas is saying. Everyone else is saying the Patriots will lose ... which is why I feel 100 percent certain that the Patriots will win. When everybody's convinced they're right, I'm convinced they're wrong. History shows people just aren't that smart.

Final score: It'll be a slugfest, but the Patriots will win 42-38.

Mike Freeman

Initially, I thought the Giants would actually beat the Patriots handily. Eli Manning would look at the Patriots defense, lick his chops, and light that defense on fire. Tom Brady would get harassed, an injured Gronk would be controlled, and Wes Welker would have a solid though not dominating day. It was all shaping up to a healthy Giants victory.

Then at the beginning of this week the Giants started chirping. And chirping. And chirping some more. It was a jab-fest for them with the team’s main message being they could get to Tom Brady both physically and mentally.

Normally, as Tom Coughlin would say, talk is cheap but this is Brady who thrives on talk and doubters. I’ve seen it happen with Brady on more than a few occasions. Not to mention the Patriots are on a revenge tour. I think the Giants would have been better served shutting the hell up. I know they are talkers. I know the Giants thrive on emotion and yapping but don’t pull on SuperBrady’s cape.

The Giants will still win but their mouths just turned this game from a comfortable win for them into one of the tightest Super Bowls ever.

Final score: Giants, 28-27

Clark Judge

I’ll take the New York Giants in Super Bowl XLVI, and here’s why: Because they’re more balanced than New England, they’re hot, they’re confident and they have the pass rush to flummox the usually unflappable Tom Brady.

Oh, yeah, they also won their last two vs. the Patriots – including a 24-20 defeat this season.

But it’s that pass rush that convinces me. The Giants can bring pressure with their defensive line, allowing everyone else to drop into coverage, and if you don’t think that will affect Brady you weren’t watching the Giants shred Green Bay and Aaron Rodgers in the divisional round of the playoffs.

Brady struggled in his last two starts vs. New York. He was sacked seven times, hit on countless other occasions and had more turnovers (4) than touchdown passes (3). He also lost both games. That counts for something, and I say it counts for a Giants’ victory.

Final score: Giants, 24-17

Pete Prisco

Quarterback and pass rush.  

That's the key to winning in the NFL these days. Get a great thrower and have a lot of guys to knock down the other team's thrower. The New England Patriots have the great passer in Tom Brady, but they lack the great pass rushers. The New York Giants have a very good passer in Eli Manning, but they have a lot of pass rushers.

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That's why the New York Giants will win Super Bowl XLVI. This time, unlike the last time they played in a Super Bowl, the Giants aren't huge underdogs. What I can't figure out is this: Why they aren't they favored.

The Giants are the better team. 

It's a tribute to Brady that the Patriots are here, but in watching him play the Giants in the past, he isn't the same Brady when he faces that the New York defense. Like I wrote this week, the Giants seem to be in his head. In the Giants' victory this season in Foxboro, Mass., Brady looked ordinary.  

That's the big edge for the Giants. They have the pass rushers. They don't fear Brady. They rattle him. That's why the Giants will beat the Patriots again in a Super Bowl. 

The NFL is all about quarterback and pass rushers -- and the Giants will show on Sunday. 

Final score: Giants, 31-24

Paul Dehner

Forget Gronkowski's ankle. Forget Aaron Hernandez. The defining story line of Super Bowl XLVI will be how the Patriots offensive line handles the intense Giants pass rush. Recent history of all New York's opponents on their postseason run insists that's more of a fleeting wish than a likelihood. The Giants have pounded every quarterback in their way into submission and eventual defeat. Tony Romo was sacked six times, Matt Ryan twice, Aaron Rodgers four times and Alex Smith three. The opponent didn't matter.

Tom Brady's only the next in line. When Brady can't throw, the Pats don't go. The Giants front four is coming and there isn't too much Brady can do about it. Jason Pierre-Paul and the rest of the Giants own the rare ability to disrupt timing -- the ultimate equalizer in the new, pass-happy NFL. They'll do it again on Sunday. That's the reason they'll loft the trophy.

Final score: Giants, 21-17

Alex Raskin

Another scoreless first half — like the one the New England Patriots and New York Giants had back in Week 9 — is improbable, but another defensive battle isn’t. Everyone is rightfully talking about each team’s respective high-powered offense. However, this game will be won on the defensive side of the ball and the Giants are up to the challenge.

New York has forced and recovered five fumbles in the postseason and the secondary has played significantly better since the Week 15 loss to the Washington Redskins. Throw in the Giants’ reliable linebackers and fearsome pass rush, and the advantage swings heavily in favor of the NFC Champions.

The Patriots’ defense intercepts passes and buckles down in the red zone, but the Giants’ big-play offense has a way around that. Victor Cruz, Hakeem Nicks and Mario Manningham allow quarterback Eli Manning to throw touchdown passes from anywhere on the field by going over or underneath opposing coverages.

Final score: Giants, 24-16

Will Brinson

It absolutely terrifies me that everyone -- and I mean everyone -- is on the Giants bandwagon. Eighty-five percent of the public money is on the Giants. Almost everyone at CBS is picking the Giants. Everyone outside of Boston is picking the Giants. It makes sense, because New York's front four is going to get pressure on Brady.

The Patriots best offensive weapon, Rob Gronkowski, is going to be limited. And how are the Patriots going to defend Victor Cruz, Hakeem Nicks and Mario Manningham? Not with Julian Edelman playing defensive back. Of course, the problem with all this is that the entire world's betting against the combination of Tom Brady and Bill Belichick. That's somewhat illogical. Two things are going to make this a very close game: Gronk's ankle forcing him to stay in and block and Vince Wilfork turning into an animal for the second straight game. (Wilfork's my darkhorse for MVP.) In the end, though, it's going to come down to who has the ball last and I think it ends up being Eli.

Final score: Giants, 27-21

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Josh Katzowitz

Seems to me like the buzz this week in Indianapolis is how the Giants will beat the Patriots for the second time this season. And for reasons I’m having a hard time explaining, I don’t think that will happen. Give New England coach Bill Belichick two weeks to figure out how to beat the Giants, and I think he does it.

Obviously, New York has some solid advantages. The Giants front four will provide plenty of issues for the Patriots as they try to keep Tom Brady untouched. Eli Manning shouldn’t have a problem picking on New England’s secondary. And assuming Patriots tight end Rob Gronkowski isn’t 100 percent effective, New England’s offense will be a little less versatile.

So, really, the Giants should win.

But I can’t pull the trigger on predicting them to do so. And I don’t know why. Which, I guess, isn’t much of answer why I’m picking the Patriots to win. I just kinda think they will.

Final score: Patriots, 24-22

Ryan Wilson

It's hard to believe that Vegas has had New England as the favorites for nearly two weeks now because almost everybody likes New York. Never mind that Giants have issues in the secondary and Tom Brady is a future Hall of Famer and three-time Super Bowl winner, New York's front four somehow makes up for all that.

Four years ago, the Pats came into this game undefeated and unstoppable. The Giants' pass rush changed all that. And that's what happened this season, in Week 9, when the two teams met. We get the feeling that New England won't be able to protect Brady on Sunday either.

Meanwhile, Eli Manning is playing the best football of his career even without much of a running game behind him. The Patriots' defense has been better in recent weeks but they still struggle in both phases. And that's bad news if Brady isn't his usual self.

Final score: Giants, 24-21

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Comments

Since: Nov 29, 2007
Posted on: February 5, 2012 12:11 am
 

CBSSports.com's Super Bowl XLVI predictions

"History shows that people aren't that smart"  hey Doyel as much as i hate to admit it your a people too, dont pull a muscle patting yourself on the back for being so "smart". Keep studying that history.



Since: Oct 19, 2010
Posted on: February 5, 2012 12:09 am
 

CBSSports.com's Super Bowl XLVI predictions

 The Pats D gives up a shitload of yards and prob will give up a lot of yards on super sunday . The thing people seem to over look is the fact that they dont give up a lot of points and gave up a lot less points than the Giants during the reg season . (to be fair the giants did give up 2 less points per game in the playoffs). The last time i checked games are decided by points not  yards . Ofcourse theres no argument the Pats have a better offense . Theres also no argument the Giants are red hot right now . There  still a 9 and 7 team that barely made the playoffs and the Pats wont fuck around this time . PATRIOTS 34 GIANTS 20 ! Things always even out in the end, Eli is a good but not eltie QB , the giants run game blows , there front four is overrated also Belicheck IS THE BEST COACH IN THE GAME and doesnt lose to a team 3 times in a row it just doesnt happen. Oh ya Brady isnt that bad either.



Since: Mar 2, 2009
Posted on: February 4, 2012 11:02 pm
 

CBSSports.com's Super Bowl XLVI predictions

If I was a gambler, this is a game I would take a pass on even though it's the Super Bowl.  I have no interest in either team so I'm just gonna back and hope to see a well played competitive game.



Since: Dec 1, 2006
Posted on: February 4, 2012 10:54 pm
 

CBSSports.com's Super Bowl XLVI predictions

I wonder if anyone ever learns from past mistakes regarding predictions...

If I remember correctly, all the experts here at Sportsline were predicting the Pats going away in 2007, and one of the often cited reasons was that they beat the Giants in the regular season.

Yet here we are in 2011, and (most of) the experts are predicting the Giants going away, and one of the often cited reasons was that they beat the Pats in the regular season... 

PS:  Tom Brady is 10-2 in same-season revenge games in his career.  Broncos in '05 and Colts in '06 were the only blemishes on his record in that department. 



Since: Dec 23, 2008
Posted on: February 4, 2012 10:45 pm
 

CBSSports.com's Super Bowl XLVI predictions

Wow, I can't believe how much you just wrote about Deion Branch. He was good 10 years ago. Giants win by 2 TDs...



Since: Nov 17, 2006
Posted on: February 4, 2012 10:34 pm
 

CBSSports.com's Super Bowl XLVI predictions

Marc0123, I was actually paying attention to your post.  Then I saw your predicted score and stopped taking it seriously.  Alex Smith isn't even in the same game with either Aaron Rodgers or Tom Brady, and Rodgers had a badly banged-up offensive line.  The Patriots' offensive line is much better than the front of either of those other teams.  Yes. the Giants have the ingredient you need to take on the Patriots, namely a great defensive front.  They don't have to blitz to get pressure.  The question is how much they'll have.  The Patriots have the best pair of guards in the game, Logan Mankins and Brian Waters.  Their tackles, Matt Light and either Sebastian Vollmer or Nate Solder, are solid.  Dan Connolly at center is a backup who has had to fill in for Dan Koppen all season, but he's a guy who would be the starter for most teams in the league. 


The Patriots' pass blocking is helped by having Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez chipping the defensive ends before going out into their patterns.  There is no easy outside route, and the tackles, knowing they have help against an outside move, are able to be prepared for the inside move.  Two tight ends and Welker mean that there are three top-drawer receivers available to take quick passes.  Linebackers aren't quick enough to cover Gronkowski and Hernandez, and defensive backs aren't big enough.  And if the Giants double both Welker and Gronkowski, as they probably will, the Patriots happen to have probably the greatest Super Bowl receiver of all time in Deion Branch.  You may have forgotten, but he set a Super Bowl record for receptions in the 2003 Super Bowl against Carolina, then came back the next year and broke his own record against Philadelphia; he was the MVP of that game.  You leave one of those Giants corners, who aren't that great, out on an island with Branch, and he may get very badly burned.  People thought, after Branch went to Seattle and didn't do well out there, that he was done, but he has been outstanding since his return to the Patriots.

I wouldn't rule out a Giants win, and I think the game will probably be fairly close.  But to suggest that anyone can beat the Patriots by 21 points is purest lunacy.   Three teams beat the Pats this year, one of them being the Giants.  The three Patriots losses were by 3 points, 4 points, and 8 points.  Anyone who wants to give me 21 points and the Patriots, please let me know; I want that bet.   



Since: Aug 13, 2009
Posted on: February 4, 2012 10:09 pm
 

CBSSports.com's Super Bowl XLVI predictions

12-4 team is better than a 13-3 team..the Giants on the road the Pats at home....so if the Ravens at 12-; can be better then a team at 13-3 according to you then the Giants can be better than the Pats despite going 9-7.

I could not get through your whole rant without laughing so I will respond about a quarter of the way through. Your trying to say comparing a 9-7 team to a 13-3 team is the same as comparing 12-4 and a 13-3 team. that is funny.


The Packers sucked down the stretch, so are you saying the Packers were playing good down the stretch?


The chiefs beat them pretty good, the Chiefs are the 27th ranked offense gaining about 310 yards a game but the Defending World Champions gave up 438 yards to them, they had the ball for 36 minutes of that game and there were no turnovers in this game. The only reason the packers were still in the game was because the lowly chiefs went 1-5 in the red zone while the packers were 2-2.

The packers were not the same team down the stretch.



Since: Aug 13, 2009
Posted on: February 4, 2012 9:58 pm
 

CBSSports.com's Super Bowl XLVI predictions

You mean the same "32 ranked" rush offense that outgained New England IN New England WITHOUT AHMAD BRADSHAW

That offense?

The one that teabagged the Patriots on their home turf?

Yeah
 

CLOWN




Clown, your a moron, 1 game from November 6th, Bradshaw sux this year, under 4 yds a carry, not good. So what the Giants beat the Patriots once in the regular season, you act like it was a blow. So if you guys were playing Seattle I could predict a seattle win since they beat you at home earlier this year or if you were playing the Skins I guess it would be a guarantee since they beat you twice, your an idiot.

rush offense that outgained New England

I love the wording you use to make it fit your arguement better, HAHAHAHAHAHA your a moron, really, come on now.

They outgained them by 5 yards on more carries 111 to 106 with 5 more carries 29 carries for NY 24 for NE thats a half yard per carry better for the Pats. It was a close game and was won by the Giants because of 4-2 T/O differential. Look at the stats, if your going to bring up stats look at all of them, the Pats made mistakes that game that they did not do all year and still had a good chance to win that game. The giants won fair and square but 1 game from Novermber 6th means nothing for tomorrow. CLOWN





Since: Nov 14, 2006
Posted on: February 4, 2012 9:51 pm
 

CBSSports.com's Super Bowl XLVI predictions

DEJA...this tool can't see how bad his argument is and how much he contradicts himself. His Packer comments alone are enough for me realize this guy is delusional.



Since: Nov 13, 2008
Posted on: February 4, 2012 9:51 pm
 

CBSSports.com's Super Bowl XLVI predictions

Stop crying and making excuses. The fact is the Giants won the game period! The next time they played the Giants won again. This Giants team is far better than the one that one the Suer Bowl and better than they were early on when they beat the Pats. Did you see Alex Smith and Rodgers running for their lives over and over. Brady could beat his wife in a race and he will go down early and often. You can spin it any way you want, Giants win the Super Bowl 38-17


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