Tag:Projecting the Field
Posted on: March 13, 2011 4:08 pm
Edited on: March 13, 2011 4:10 pm

My final bracket projection

Here's my final bracket projection:

(Teams seeded with no regard to region.)

1. Ohio State, Kansas, Pittsburgh, Duke
2. Notre Dame, San Diego State, Connecticut, Syracuse
3. Texas, Purdue, North Carolina, Louisville
4. Florida, BYU, Kentucky, Wisconsin
5. West Virginia, St. John's, Cincinnati, Vanderbilt
6. Xavier, UNLV, Kansas State, Georgetown
7. Texas A&M, Temple, Arizona, Old Dominion
8. Washington, Missouri, Marquette, UCLA
9. Tennessee, Richmond, Utah State, Villanova
10. George Mason, Michigan, Florida State, Michigan State
11. Memphis, Penn State, Gonzaga, Illinois
12. Butler, Georgia, Colorado/VCU, Virginia Tech/Saint Mary's
13. Princeton, Belmont, Oakland, Bucknell
14. Long Island, Morehead State, St. Peter's, Wofford
15. Indiana State, Boston University, Akron, Northern Colorado
16. UNC-Ashville, Hampton, UC Santa Barbara/UALR, Alabama State/UTSA
Category: NCAAB
Posted on: November 8, 2010 1:18 pm

My preseason projection of the Field of 68

I projected all 65 schools that made the NCAA tournament correctly last Selection Sunday, which suggested -- at least to me -- that I'm too gifted to be waiting around till March to tell you how things will go down. So this year I've challenged myself differently. I must now get 68 of 68 (because of tournament expansion), and I must get them before the season even begins.

Honestly, it shouldn't be a problem.

Here you go:

(Schools are seeded with no regard to region.)
  1. Duke, Michigan State, Ohio State, Pittsburgh
  2. Kansas State, North Carolina, Florida, Villanova
  3. Baylor, Memphis, Kansas, Gonzaga
  4. Kentucky, Temple, Illinois, Missouri
  5. Washington, Butler, Syracuse, Tennessee
  6. San Diego State, Wisconsin, Purdue, Georgia
  7. BYU, Richmond, Virginia Tech, Texas
  8. West Virginia, Georgetown, UNLV, UCLA
  9. Minnesota, Wichita State, Mississippi State, Marquette
  10. North Carolina State, Murray State, Old Dominion, New Mexico
  11. Maryland, Xavier, Arizona, Florida State
  12. Texas A&M, St. John's, Dayton, Notre Dame/Saint Mary's
  13. Utah State, Ohio, Western Kentucky, Vanderbilt/Missouri State
  14. Fairfield, Weber State, Wofford, Oakland
  15. Princeton, Long Beach State, Coastal Carolina, Lipscomb
  16. Boston University, Stephen F. Austin, American/Quinnipiac, Morgan State/Jackson State

Big East: 8 (Pittsburgh, Villanova, Syracuse, West Virginia, Georgetown, Marquette, St. John's, Notre Dame)
Big Ten: 6 (Michigan State, Ohio State, Illinois, Wisconsin, Purdue, Minnesota)
Big 12: 6 (Kansas State, Baylor, Kansas, Missouri, Texas, Texas A&M)
ACC: 6 (Duke, North Carolina, Virginia Tech, North Carolina State, Maryland, Florida State)
SEC: 6 (Florida, Kentucky, Tennessee, Georgia, Mississippi State, Vanderbilt)
A-10: 4 (Temple, Richmond, Xavier, Dayton)
MWC: 4 (San Diego State, BYU, UNLV, New Mexico)
Pac-10: 3 Washington, UCLA, Arizona)
MVC: 2 (Wichita State, Missouri State)
WCC: 2 (Gonzaga, Saint Mary's)
Everybody else: 21 (Memphis, Butler, Murray State, Old Dominion, Utah State, Ohio, Western Kentucky, Fairfield, Weber State, Wofford, Oakland, Princeton, Long Beach State, Coastal Carolina, Boston University, Lipscomb, Stephen F. Austin, American, Quinnipiac, Morgan State, Jackson State)
Category: NCAAB
Posted on: March 14, 2010 3:52 pm

My final bracket projection

Here's my final bracket projection.

I suspect it's exactly right.

(Teams are listed with no regard to region)

1. Kansas, Kentucky, Syracuse, West Virginia
2. Duke, Ohio State, Kansas State, Georgetown
3. Villanova, New Mexico, Wisconsin, Baylor
4. Pittsburgh, Michigan State, Tennessee, Temple
5. Maryland, Purdue, Texas A&M, Vanderbilt
6. Butler, BYU, Xavier, Richmond
7. Texas, Gonzaga, Florida State, Oklahoma State
8. Georgia Tech, Marquette, San Diego State, Northern Iowa
9. UNLV, Saint Mary's, Missouri, Clemson
10. Wake Forest, Old Dominion, California, Notre Dame
11. Louisville, Utah State, UTEP, Minnesota
12. Florida, Cornell, Siena, Washington
13. Oakland, Wofford, Murray State, New Mexico State
14. Montana, Ohio, Houston, Sam Houston State
15. Robert Morris, Vermont, North Texas, UC Santa Barbara
16. Winthrop, Morgan State, East Tennessee State, Lehigh/Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Category: NCAAB
Posted on: January 12, 2010 10:00 am

Dear Gary (on Projecting the Field)

Here's Tuesday's Dear Gary ...

Dear Gary: Just wondering when you were going to post the first March Madness tourney projections? I'm always interested in following the changes and seeing how good your guesses are.

-- John

My guesses -- I like to call them "expert projections" -- are always pretty awesome, but, just like last season, Jerry Palm is handling the weekly Projecting the Field. I'll start doing it, too, in early March, if only to display my "expert projections" over at The Bracket Project . But for now, it's all Jerry. So click this link and check it out.
Posted on: March 16, 2009 8:01 pm

How did your favorite bracket projector do?

The annual grades on the projected brackets are out, courtesy of the fine folks at The Bracket Project.

Click this link to check them out.

I'm listed as 'CBS.'

Everybody else is listed how you would expect.

As for the basics, I got 64 of the 65 teams correct, missing only Arizona. I had 31 of the 65 teams seeded correctly, and 57 of the 65 teams seeded within one seed of their actual seed. That's not bad, if you don't mind me saying. And now I look forward to next season, when I plan to get every school and seed exactly right.

Category: NCAAB
Posted on: March 15, 2009 4:36 pm
Edited on: March 15, 2009 4:36 pm

Here's how I see the Field of 65

NEW YORK -- Pittsburgh, North Carolina and Louisville are locks for No. 1 seeds, and I think Memphis will get the fourth No. 1 seed even though the Tigers do not have one of the best four bodies of work in the country. Why? Because I believe the committee will discount UConn because of the loss of Jerome Dyson and put an asterisk next to Duke's ACC tournament title based on the fact that Ty Lawson didn't play for UNC.

So Pitt, UNC, Louisville and Memphis will be the top seeds.

Connecticut, Duke, Oklahoma and Michigan State should be the No. 2 seeds.

Here's the full field, best I can tell:

1. Pittsburgh, North Carolina, Louisville, Memphis
2. Connecticut, Duke, Oklahoma, Michigan State
3. Wake Forest, Villanova, Missouri, Kansas
4. Florida State, Gonzaga, Syracuse, Washington
5. UCLA, Xavier, Purdue, Butler
6. West Virginia, Illinois, Arizona State, Utah
7. Clemson, Marquette, Ohio State, LSU
8. Texas, Oklahoma State, BYU, Tennessee
9. California, Boston College, Wisconsin, Michigan
10. Texas A&M, Maryland, Minnesota, Southern California
11. Siena, Creighton, Temple, Dayton
12. Northern Iowa, Mississippi State, Western Kentucky, Utah State
13. Akron, VCU, Stephen F. Austin, Cleveland State
14. American, Robert Morris, North Dakota State, Binghamton
15. Cornell, East Tennessee State, Portland State, Radford
16. Morehead State, Cal State-Northridge, Morgan State
Play-in Game: Chattanooga vs. Alabama State

Category: NCAAB
Posted on: January 15, 2009 5:54 pm

Dear Gary (on Palm's bracket)

Here's Thursday's Dear Gary ...

Dear Gary: I want to apologize for the beating you are taking on the message board for my boneheaded predictions.

-- Jerry

That note came from Jerry Palm, our new Projecting the Field author who is off to a great start. For proof, consider the following subject headlines on the message board:

This is absolute garbage

Do you even watch the games?

Jerry Palm is an idiot

So yeah, Jerry is taking a beating, and some of you are killing me just because I know Jerry. But what I've learned in this job -- and I told Jerry this, too -- is that any time you rank or seed anything there will be people waiting to call you an idiot. It never fails. So my advice to Jerry was to not worry with it, and my advice to the rest of you is to remember three things:

1. Jerry is projecting what he thinks the bracket will look like on Selection Sunday, not what the bracket would like today. So keep that in mind when you're looking at it, and perhaps that'll make it make more sense.

2. Don't judge Jerry's bracket today. Wait until Selection Sunday, then issue grades.

3. And finally, please don't compare Jerry's brackets to my brackets. It's not fair. I was legendary at it.Nobody should be held to that standard, Jerry included.
Posted on: January 13, 2009 3:12 pm
Edited on: January 13, 2009 3:15 pm

Dear Gary (on Palm and Projecting the Field)

Here's Tuesday's Dear Gary ...

Dear Gary: Have you put out a Projecting the Field link yet? I believe I saw one the other day, but I cannot find it.

-- Chad

Yes, you did see one. It was last Wednesday, and here's a link to it. But starting tomorrow (i.e., this Wednesday) I am turning over all Projecting the Field responsibility to Jerry Palm, the brains behind CollegeRPI.com and CollegeBCS.com, not to mention a fine gentleman who is an attribute to CBSSports.com. Seriously, I couldn't be happier to have Jerry helping on the college basketball side of things. So look for that tomorrow and every Wednesday going forward, and don't forget to send all your complaints to Palm, not Parrish.

The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com