Gammons: Sox Should Improve

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Gammons: Sox Should Improve

December 26, 2012 9:10 pm

Uncertainty remains, but Boston should improve

With the deal for reliever Joel Hanrahan completed -- and if and when the Mike Napoli signing is cleared medically and legally -- the Red Sox have added eight and maybe even nine players. They have brought former pitching coach John Farrell back to manage with some new, energetic coaches. They get John Lackey back after a missed season because of Tommy John surgery, David Ortiz back after missing half a year due to an Achilles injury, near-2011 American League MVP Award winner Jacoby Ellsbury back after missing 88 games due to a shoulder injury and Dustin Pedroia healthy after playing through a myriad of injuries, including broken fingers on each hand near the end of 2012.

But because the media perceives there to be a lack of things to talk and write about, the Boston offseason has created all the excitement of the changeover in the toll-taking system on the Mass Pike. One columnist constantly reminds everyone that this is still a last-place team. Another suggested the Red Sox should have given Josh Hamilton $150 million because at least he was someone to write and talk about.

Yet everyone in New England should remember that the Red Sox are two years removed from "The Winter of Buzz," when they expended nearly $300 million and three players for Carl Crawford and Adrian Gonzalez, who have since been traded to the Dodgers in what was a make-good deal with the bonus factor of two outstanding pitching prospects. That remembered, no one really knows what the 2013 Red Sox will be.

All the players acquired thus far will be 30 by Opening Day. Three of them -- Hanrahan (2011, '12), Shane Victorino (2009, '11) and Ryan Dempster (2000, '08) -- have been All-Stars. All, especially David Ross and Dempster, are considered chemistry upgrades.

http://boston.redsox.mlb.com/news/a
rticle.jsp?ymd=20121226&content_id=40791180&vkey=news_bos&c_id=bos 



redseat
SinceOct 19, 2007
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Gammons: Sox Should Improve

December 26, 2012 9:13 pm

I do think the Red Sox will improve over last year (and quite frankly how can they not?) but I am not as optimistic as Peter Gammons.  

He did bring up a point of concern with me, the age  of the players the sox have signed when they will start playing...They all will be 30...Yes I know that doesn't sound very old but isn't that old is baseball level.  And reading this it seems like Gammons is saying this team will improve simply because of the "chemistry" sure that will be a bonus compared to last year but how much can that equate to on the field?  Chemistry doesn't help throw strikes or score runs..
redseat
SinceOct 19, 2007
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Gammons: Sox Should Improve

December 26, 2012 9:15 pm

Let's run down the list. First, Cherington dismissed manager Bobby Valentine and hired John Farrell. There are dozens of reasons Valentine and the Red Sox were a bad marriage. Rather than pretend otherwise, the Sox cut their losses.

Farrell knows the organization and its players. He has their confidence and respect. How much progress the Red Sox make will depend largely on Jon Lester, Clay Buchholz and John Lackey having productive seasons, and hiring Farrell, once one of baseball's most respected pitching coaches, is a step in that direction.

As for everything else, Cherington filled pretty much every need. Depth for the rotation? Ryan Dempster has averaged 200 innings the last five seasons.

Bullpen? Cherington signed free agent Koji Uehara and is close to trading for Pirates closer Joel Hanrahan. The Red Sox likely will have three left-handers in the bullpen, giving Farrell an array of late-inning options.

Boston's GM picked up Shane Victorino to play right, Jonny Gomes to platoon in left and Drew to play shortstop.

The Red Sox are still attempting to finalize a deal with Mike Napoli, who can play first or catch. Like most of the others, he's a respected clubhouse presence who has been to the playoffs.

Cherington also re-signed David Ortiz, and if Dustin Pedroia, Jacoby Ellsbury and Will Middlebrooks have healthy and productive seasons, the Red Sox should have themselves a nice little ballclub.

If there are no more changes in the current depth chart, only four Red Sox everyday players who started on Opening Day in 2012 -- Pedroia, Ortiz, Ellsbury and catcher Jarrod Saltalamacchia -- will be back at their same spots in 2013.

http://boston.redsox.mlb.com/news/a
rticle.jsp?ymd=20121222&content_id=40781582&vkey=news_bos&c_id=bos 

redseat
SinceOct 19, 2007
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Gammons: Sox Should Improve

December 29, 2012 4:34 pm

There's no question will be better and in my mind we will compete for a WC. I think we have a great bull pen and our starting pitching is better because of Dempster and a healthy Lackey. We also have brought back Farrell who will greatly help the pitching. I feel like we have a middle of the pack line up with the potential to be great. I think we could win 85-90 games this year.
celticpatsox12
SinceNov 3, 2007
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Gammons: Sox Should Improve

January 1, 2013 10:02 am

Good insight Redseat,

I think overall the front office did a decent job of selectively addressing needs without repeating past errors by going all in on big names. Seems like they overpaid a bit, eps Victorino and Gomes, but look at the total picture and we have a nice looking club. I would have enjoyed seeing Josh Hamilton in a Red Sox uniform, but know the Sawx could not risk the kind of money and years he was commanding in the market. Don't think we were ever seriously in on Zach Greinke; too many questions on his viability in a market like Boston. I'm still holding out hope we may add one more SP, (is Brandon McCarthy still in play?), but even if we don't I see the season entirely hinging on what kind of bounceback years we get from Lester, Buchholz and Lackey. If they pitch closer to their best form, we could be competitive for a WC. If they pitch on the lower end of their ranges, we will be in for a long season again. The teams that have taken off (Reds, Nats, Giants) are well ahead of the Sawx with their starting rotation production. Our lineup stacks up well against any team in baseball, especially if Napoli comes on board and performs close to his Fenway averages. As I see it, it all comes down to those three.....and counting on decent production out of Dempster and Doubrant. Are there any phenoms coming up we can look for especially in 2H next year? [Matt Barnes], Allen Webster, Rubby De La Rosa, Henry Owens, Brandon Workman, Drake Britton, Anthony Ranaudo, Brian Johnson, Pat Light, Frank Montas?

Hopeful Predictions:
Lester:   18-11, 3.60
Bucholz:  17-10; 3.20
Lackey:   14-12; 4.10
Dempster: 15-11; 3.80
Doubrant:  14-13: 3.90

If we get this kind of production out of our starting rotation I see the Sawx between 90-95 wins. (Big if!)
ncgator83
SinceNov 15, 2009
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Gammons: Sox Should Improve

January 1, 2013 10:54 pm

Don't expect much, if any, production from the Sox pitching prospects in 2013. One that could help some is De La Rosa, but the Sox will handle him with kid gloves as he works back from TJ surgery. He is a name that I always forget when it comes to our bullpen for 2013, so it will be interesting to see how the Sox use him next season. Do they consider him a starter or potential closer? I think you have to go with starter until proven otherwise, but he may only start in the minors. In the majors, he would likely be used in relief initially, unless there si a spot start or two needed.

Another name is Alex Wilson. He was converted to full time relief last season, and has a power arm. With our depth in the bullpen, it will be hard for him to break camp with the team, but he could be the first guy called up.

Guys like Barnes, Webster, Workman or Ranaudo would likely only be used as September callups, if at all. It would be wiser to limit their innings as they gradually build stamina and try to be ready for 2014.
rokketmn
SinceDec 3, 2007
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Gammons: Sox Should Improve

February 8, 2013 6:58 pm

Hopeful Predictions:
Lester:   18-11, 3.60
Bucholz:  17-10; 3.20
Lackey:   14-12; 4.10
Dempster: 15-11; 3.80
Doubrant:  14-13: 3.90


Solid numbers.  Though I think Lackey will be in the 5s with his ERA.  However I do not have as high of hopes for Dempster as you might. 
redseat
SinceOct 19, 2007
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Gammons: Sox Should Improve

February 13, 2013 3:32 pm

I think the sox can compete and will compete for a wild card. Injuries are always a factor but I believe this team is capable of 88 to 90 wins.
jbosox4ever
SinceApr 20, 2008
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Gammons: Sox Should Improve

February 13, 2013 4:09 pm

I think the sox can compete and will compete for a wild card. Injuries are always a factor but I believe this team is capable of 88 to 90 wins

I agree that 90 wins is the ceiling for this team. Even if things don't break just right, we should still manage 80 wins. 2014 will be the year the Sox start taking leaps forward when the prospects start making their way to Boston.
  
rokketmn
SinceDec 3, 2007
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Gammons: Sox Should Improve

March 25, 2013 4:57 pm

another thing they can improve on is their last 10 games...  Last year they went 1-9... Major ouch!
redseat
SinceOct 19, 2007
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Gammons: Sox Should Improve

March 27, 2013 3:35 pm

I am socking 85 wins,, just out of reach of the wildcard.. better then last year but things are just taking shape.. i think farrel will be around for awhile and will get the pieces together to make a run in the next couple of years.. I am excited with what we have coming up hopefully everyone can stay on the same page.
dblake3659
SinceSep 11, 2006