This is if the tournament started today. Teams in CAPS-LOCK are projected conference champs.
Kansas is the #1 Overall Seed followed by Michigan, Arizona and Duke. The winner of the South Regional will play the winner of the East Regional. The winner of the Midwest Regional will play the winner of the West Regional.
The region placements do not necessarily represent the rank of the teams.
South 1. KANSAS 2. FLORIDA 3. Michigan State 4. Minnesota
I was a little surprised I put UMass in without a play-in but I have for a while considered putting Temple in a play-in game and now felt like the time. They are tough to rank, as are most A-10 schools. I probably could have put Temple above UMass but consider this a warning, they aren't close to safe.
At this present time, that looks pretty close to what it would be to me too, with maybe a couple switches of seeds here and there. Thing is this year, a month from now it could look a LOT different the way it's been going. Fun times.
I think the thing that could really screw up a lot of the bracketology this year could be the also rans getting hot in their conference tourneys and gettintting the auto bid, which might screw some at large teams that should be in.
I agree in general bricktop, but I wouldn't lose much sleep if some bubble teams don't get in because of teams stealing autobids...
The field is so lackluster this season, the bubble teams just aren't that good.
Even if everything plays out and all of the favorites win from here, I just don't see 68 teams that are that good. This year the bubble won't be about "which deserving teams will be left out" it'll be about which undeserving teams are we going to put in"
Let's face it. Some crappy teams are going to sneak in regardless if the come in from the top and win their tournament, or come in from the bottom, on the bubble.
I know Arizona has the RPI, but I'd switch Florida and Arizona (also got the head to head comparison. Syracuse may have lost even the 2 seed, but they look right where you have them. I'd bring St. Louis in and move out Temple although I see the SoS of the Billikens.
Charlotte also complicates things now. It's pretty crazy. That area of last 6 teams in (Arizona State, UMass, Temple, Kentucky, Indiana State, Iowa State) and bubble teams like Charlotte, Villanova, St. John's, Maryland and Wyoming is tight.
AFA is my 5th MWC team in if they keep the recent level of play. Wyo without Martinez has lost their seat to AF. Hard to argue your picks Joe. I concur on St Louis, uno. They seem to be making some serious noise in a tough conference. ACC and PAC will lose seeds to bubbles like AFA and an up-and-coming St Louis.
Currently in the Bracket as a 10 seed or lower: 10 - Baylor: Lost to Iowa State on the road 10 - Saint Louis: Beat Dayton at home 10 - Pittsburgh: Beat Syracuse at home 10 - La Salle: Beat George Washington on the road 11 - North Carolina: Beat Virginia Tech at home in OT 11 - Arizona State: Lost to Washington on the road 11 - Massachusetts: Lost to Charlotte on the road 12 - Temple: Lost to Saint Joseph's on the road 12 - Kentucky: Beat Texas A&M on the road in OT 12 - Indiana State: Lost to Drake on the road in OT 12 - Iowa State: Beat Baylor at home
Wyoming: Lost to Colorado State on the road Saint John's: Lost to Georgetown on the road Charlotte: Beat Massachusetts at home Maryland: Beat Wake Forest at home Boise State: Beat UNLV at home Brigham Young: Beat Santa Clara at home Air Force: Beat San Diego State at home Xavier: Lost to Richmond on the road Southern Miss: Beat UAB on the road UCF: Lost to Marshall on the road
Villanova: idle Stanford: idle Rutgers: idle St. Mary's: Idle
Well alot changes after today. Kentucky should at the least be out of the play-in games. At a quick glance they are now the 3rd #11 seed. Belmont moves to a 10, Baylor drops to a 11 and is ahead of Kentucky along with North Carolina.
Interesting...Akron said they are willing to go on the road to get a better opponent for bracket busters. Akron was scheduled to be a home team this year but it seems almost all the home teams are the ones that are the top RPI teams with Creighton being the 1 lone road team that has a good RPI. Creighton is likely to play at Saint Mary's or Belmont though leaving Akron with an opponent unlikely to help their RPI. Akron is 16-4 vs Div 1 teams and has the current longest win streak at 13 games in a row with an RPI of 53. Akron would be in good shape right now to get an at large bid if they had won 2 early season games they lost at Coastal Carolina in overtime to open the year and they lost vs Oklahoma State in overtime in their 2nd Div 1 game of the year. Right now it looks like they have no chance to get an at large even if they went 16-0 in the MAC and lost in the finals.