Recruiting services like Rivals and Scout

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Recruiting services like Rivals and Scout

February 6, 2013 2:37 pm

Heck, average them all out.  Between Rivals, Scout, ESPN, and CBS (247) the average 2013 class rankings are (as of 2:30pm):


1.)  Ohio State     1.75 avg.(2,2,2,1)
2.)  Alabama        3.25 avg.(1,8,1,3)
3.)  Florida           3.50 avg.(1,3,7,3)
4.)  Notre Dame   4.00 avg.(4,5,3,4)  
5.)  Michigan        4.50 avg.(6,4,2,6)
6.)  LSU               6.25 avg.(5,6,7,7)
7.)  Ole Miss         7.00 avg.(7,10,6,5)
8.)  Tex A&M        7.75 avg.(8,5,10,8)
 

These could flux a bit, but it's pretty hard to deny these classes appear to be the cream right now.  
  


  

WellFedMachine
SinceDec 17, 2012
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Recruiting services like Rivals and Scout

February 6, 2013 7:21 pm

I don't think coach Riley at OR St likes to recruit players with stars. Looking at the recruits, I saw only 1 or 2 nationally rated around 100, a few more rated in the 100 - 200 range, the rest in the high hundreds, thousands, and one even rated nationally at over 5K. I know the coaching staff pulls off miracles developing these unranked unknowns and the Beavs will finish the season in probably the top 3 again, going bowling again. I just wish the Beavers could find a better recruiter for the team and maybe with better recruits ( full class of top 50 ), the coaches wouldn't have as much to teach and coach the kids to get them ready. The Beavs might even challenge for the CCG or more if they recruited better talent at the start. They're excited about this class being one of the best they've gotten. It makes me shake my head in wonder that coach Riley and staff have won so many games with inferior talent against bigger name schools that get top ranked talent year after year. 
NativeWebfoot
SinceDec 4, 2009
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Recruiting services like Rivals and Scout

February 6, 2013 7:43 pm

And now that it's 7:30, I reckon OSU and Alabama have switched spots on the average of the four sites.  In dunno how the scoring goes, but from what I understand, OSU may be losing a P to Alabama for 'personal reasons'.  As silly as that sounds (and again, I'm not certain) but it could put Alabama over OSU on the last site (scout.com) and five the Tide #1 on all four recruiting sites.  Pretty darn impressive.
WellFedMachine
SinceDec 17, 2012
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Recruiting services like Rivals and Scout

February 6, 2013 10:08 pm

Rivals, Scout, and the other services for that matter, are basically playing follow the leader.  Think about it.

They exist to sell subscriptions and advertising.  They aren't in the business of examining 17 year olds, like every football coach in America is.  And they know that.  It's about income, they usually tend to rank the programs with lots of subscription buying fans more generously than they rank the smaller market teams from the lesser conferences.  Often these assumptions are correct, but not always.

They pretty much base the ratings on who is chasing whom.  They assume, usually correctly, that if Alabama, ND, Ohio St., USC, and other top programs are pursuing a prospect, that this kid must be good.  Usually, they are correct.  But the misses are probably as famous as the hits, it's just that those misses are never mentioned, duh!

The area where they fall down is when they look at lower regarded programs.  Boise State, for example, has never had a recruiting class ranked over #60 or so, depending on the service.  But they are in the top 25 every year.  Last year, only 3 schools had more players drafted.  They even had two #1 draft choices, both of them ranked as 2 star recruits when they were signed (Martin perhaps got 3 stars from one service if I recall correctly).  Kellen Moore was ignored by virtually everyone.  He was the Washington State Gatorade Player of the Year in 2007, but dropped from 4 stars to 2 stars when only Boise St. offered a scholly.  Why?  Follow the leader, since no major program offered him, he obviously wasn't that good.  5 years later, he holds virtually every NCAA passing record. 

If I were you, I wouldn't bet the farm on their predictions.  Notre Dame, for example, is in the top ten every year, but only have one year in the last decade where they even came close to living up to expectations.  How come we never read these services admit that they messed up?  Just doesn't happen, does it?
smiles_id
SinceDec 13, 2006
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Recruiting services like Rivals and Scout

February 6, 2013 10:19 pm

The 247 is called a "composite" for a reason. It is the composite rankings of all the other ranking services. It may well be the most accurate only because it inlcudes multiple sources. If you think size counts - and who doesn't :) - then the one that cares about the number of recruits is good. If you look at quality the one that does that would be good. Presumably the composite rounds out the errors.

Here is what 247 says:

In an effort to communicate a more accurate evaluation of prospects and recruiting classes for fans, 247Sports is pleased to launch the 247Composite rating/ranking system for college football and basketball recruiting.

The 247Composite Rating is a proprietary algorithm that compiles prospect "rankings" and "ratings" listed in the public domain by the major media recruiting services. It converts average industry ranks and ratings into a linear composite index capping at 1.0000, which indicates a consensus No. 1 prospect across all services.

The 247Composite Rating is the industry's most comprehensive and unbiased prospect ranking and is also used to generate 247Sports Team Recruiting Rankings.

More details

-All major media services share an equal percentage in the 247Composite Rating.

-The composite index equally weights this percentage among the services that participate in a ranking for that specific prospect.

-A composite strength meter, indicated by red bars, illustrates the total number of industry services that have ranked the prospect. A full strength meter indicates the prospect has been ranked by all industry services participating in the composite.

-All industry networks have a different philosophy on number of "stars" distributed with each class. The 247Composite Rating assigns stars based on an approximate average distribution of stars from the industry.

-The 247Composite will update as major media outlets update their prospect rankings throughout the recruiting cycle.


LawDawg86
SinceAug 5, 2008
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Recruiting services like Rivals and Scout

February 6, 2013 10:21 pm

rivals and scout are about the same, as said previously by another poster, we wont know crap for another year min/ probably more like 2, if these idiotic stars really mean anything, so lets enjoy today and move on!

Its a nice diversion at BEST!
andyhamiltn
SinceJul 15, 2012
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Recruiting services like Rivals and Scout

February 6, 2013 10:41 pm

Ri
vals, Scout, and the other services for that matter, are basically playing follow the leader.  Think about it.

They exist to sell subscriptions and advertising.  They aren't in the business of examining 17 year olds, like every football coach in America is.  And they know that.  It's about income, they usually tend to rank the programs with lots of subscription buying fans more generously than they rank the smaller market teams from the lesser conferences.  Often these assumptions are correct, but not always.

They pretty much base the ratings on who is chasing whom.  They assume, usually correctly, that if Alabama, ND, Ohio St., USC, and other top programs are pursuing a prospect, that this kid must be good.  Usually, they are correct.  But the misses are probably as famous as the hits, it's just that those misses are never mentioned, duh!

The area where they fall down is when they look at lower regarded programs.  Boise State, for example, has never had a recruiting class ranked over #60 or so, depending on the service.  But they are in the top 25 every year.  Last year, only 3 schools had more players drafted.  They even had two #1 draft choices, both of them ranked as 2 star recruits when they were signed (Martin perhaps got 3 stars from one service if I recall correctly).  Kellen Moore was ignored by virtually everyone.  He was the Washington State Gatorade Player of the Year in 2007, but dropped from 4 stars to 2 stars when only Boise St. offered a scholly.  Why?  Follow the leader, since no major program offered him, he obviously wasn't that good.  5 years later, he holds virtually every NCAA passing record. 

If I were you, I wouldn't bet the farm on their predictions.  Notre Dame, for example, is in the top ten every year, but only have one year in the last decade where they even came close to living up to expectations.  How come we never read these services admit that they messed up?  Just doesn't happen, does it?


A lot of butt hurt in this thread Smiles.

By the way, can your provide some proof that a 5 star suddenly became 3 star when he committed to Boise State?  I hear the same BS from my own Husker fan base that sites downgrade players because they committed to Nebraska.  Via research this year, I found that 9 of our commits received upgrades while only 2 got downgraded (and both marginally at best).  Damn that research kind of thing. 

As for your Notre Dame prediction, they have not been in the Top 10 every year.  You do realize that the Top 10 is only filled with 10 teams, right?  That means that Alabama, LSU, Auburn, Oklahoma, Texas, Ohio State, Michigan, Florida, Florida State, USC, Georgia, Notre Dame, USC, Ole Miss, and Clemson etc. can't all finish in the Top 10 recruiting rankings every year, right?


They exist to sell subscriptions and advertising.  They aren't in the business of examining 17 year olds, like every football coach in America is.  And they know that.  It's about income, they usually tend to rank the programs with lots of subscription buying fans more generously than they rank the smaller market teams from the lesser conferences.  Often these assumptions are correct, but not always.


Damn.  The conspiracy theories never end with you, do they?  Sure, big programs that are recruiting players get some benefit of the doubt, but there is a reason. 

They win.  A lot.  And win titles in major conferences as well as National Titles.  If programs like Alabama, Ohio State, and USC are looking at a kid, they get a bump.  Does it really bother you?

As you say, Kellen Moore was great.  In the end, he is riding pine behind Matt Stafford.  And will likely never be a starting QB in the NFL.    

I'd quit being angry if I were you.  But that is just me.  

  
        
   
   
HuskerOC
SinceJun 8, 2009
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Recruiting services like Rivals and Scout

February 6, 2013 11:07 pm

I'd quit being angry if I were you.  But that is just me. 
I'm not, but obviously, I have an opinion, which I think is based on solid thinking.

Don't take my word for it, this is from Rival's own website in which they explain how they come up with their raniings.

http://rivals100.rivals.com/content
.asp?CID=59026

They admit that most of their rankings are based on who is chasing whom, or "market fluctuations" as it were.  What I said is confirmed even by their own words, more smoothly stated, of course.  They don't have the staff or time to watch thousands of kids play in thousands of games, they rely on the guys who do it for a living at the major schools.  They base a lot of the ratings based on the conference affiliation or the program reputation of the teams or their coaches.  One almost never sees a team from a non-major conference ranked very high, I can only think of one or two rated over 50 in the years I've followed it.  Some of that is legit., some of it isn't.

As a BSU fan, I am a bit irritated how that every year, they "experts" rank their recruiting efforts as mediocre, but somehow, every year, those "mediocre" recruits overachieve on the field.  I agree, Kellen Moore won't be an NFL star most likely, but no one can deny what he did at BSU.  He made a career out of proving his many doubters wrong.  But that's kind of how Boise operates.  They make a lot of mileage using that desrespect as motivation.  So far, it seems to be working, quite well, thank you very much.

To be honest, I kind of enjoy the fact that my team is always ranked way down the list in recruiting.  It makes it so much more fun when our team full of nobodies kicks your team full of prima donnas in their 4 or 5 star butts.

Peace.

smiles_id
SinceDec 13, 2006
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Recruiting services like Rivals and Scout

February 6, 2013 11:37 pm

I'm not, but obviously, I have an opinion, which I think is based on solid thinking.

Don't take my word for it, this is from Rival's own website in which they explain how they come up with their raniings.

http://rivals100.rivals.com/content

.asp?CID=59026

They admit that most of their rankings are based on who is chasing whom, or "market fluctuations" as it were.  What I said is confirmed even by their own words, more smoothly stated, of course.  They don't have the staff or time to watch thousands of kids play in thousands of games, they rely on the guys who do it for a living at the major schools.  They base a lot of the ratings based on the conference affiliation or the program reputation of the teams or their coaches.  One almost never sees a team from a non-major conference ranked very high, I can only think of one or two rated over 50 in the years I've followed it.  Some of that is legit., some of it isn't.

As a BSU fan, I am a bit irritated how that every year, they "experts" rank their recruiting efforts as mediocre, but somehow, every year, those "mediocre" recruits overachieve on the field.  I agree, Kellen Moore won't be an NFL star most likely, but no one can deny what he did at BSU.  He made a career out of proving his many doubters wrong.  But that's kind of how Boise operates.  They make a lot of mileage using that desrespect as motivation.  So far, it seems to be working, quite well, thank you very much.

To be honest, I kind of enjoy the fact that my team is always ranked way down the list in recruiting.  It makes it so much more fun when our team full of nobodies kicks your team full of prima donnas in their 4 or 5 star butts.

Peace.


Yes, I am very familiar with Rivals.

Here is the "market fluctuations" comments that you are so unhappy about:
"To help give a gauge of where a player stands on an update-to-update basis, a
player will have a stock value of rising, steady or falling. Using the Player
Stock, you can track the type of interest the recruit is getting from college
programs and where his status stands in the eyes of the coaches recruiting them.
The stock ranking is only one piece of the puzzle, though."



Damn. Such hard core thoughts that enlivened such remarks from you.  Where are the 'more smoothly' stated comments that you proclaim?  Why did you give any of your following comments:

"They don't have the staff or time to watch thousands of kids play in thousands of games, they rely on the guys who do it for a living at the major schools.  They base a lot of the ratings based on the conference affiliation or the program reputation of the teams or their coaches.  One almost never sees a team from a non-major conference ranked very high, I can only think of one or two rated over 50 in the years I've followed it.  Some of that is legit., some of it isn't."

  
Are these purely your words, or do have any credibility to back them up as being from Rivals or any other recruting service?  I certainly can't find them anywhere on Rivals, much less any other recruiting site.  This sounds like your opinion.  

And once again, it sounds like a lot of butt hurt.   

To be honest, I kind of enjoy the fact that my team is always ranked way down the list in recruiting.  It makes it so much more fun when our team full of nobodies kicks your team full of prima donnas in their 4 or 5 star butts.



And what is ALWAYS missed by Boise State fans is that you almost always have the best recruiting class in your conference.  Not only that, the difference between the Boise State class and the next guy is ridiculously large. 

You complain when things aren't in your favor, but have no problem relishing over the 'littlins' below you.  How fitting.




   
HuskerOC
SinceJun 8, 2009
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Recruiting services like Rivals and Scout

February 6, 2013 11:48 pm

Thank you Husker!

.......and AMEN to that!
andyhamiltn
SinceJul 15, 2012
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Recruiting services like Rivals and Scout

February 7, 2013 12:05 am

It's obvious that you have your way of reading it, and I have mine.  I'll leave it at that.  As to how accurately Rivals and Scout rate my school, well the numbers speak for themselves.  Boise has never been rated above the high fifties, ever, by either service.  They usually are somewhere in the 60's lately.  Yet this school has been ranked in the top 25 almost every year this decade at some point in the season, usually when it counts, at the end of the year.

I can't figure it out.  Every kid that Boise recruited was an all state or all-area player and one of the best players on his respective team.  Most of them played on top high school teams that have winning traditions.  Of course, the same is true for most major colleges.  So what makes one of these kids a 4 star and another a 3?  Your guess is as good as mine.  Often, the difference is based on who is recruiting them.  The logic is that if Boise is recruiting them, they aren't as good as if USC or Ohio St. were chasing them.

The 2007 and 2008 classes are especially glaring.  They went 50-3 over the four years from 09-12, losing those three games by a total of 5 points, two one point losses, one 3 point loss in overtime.  They had 4 NFL 1st round draft picks in 4 years, and had more players drafted in 2012 than all but three big time programs.  That is outstanding by anyone's scale, but those classes were rated down in the 60's or 70's by both services. 

Yup, these services rate Indiana and Kentucky way higher than they do Boise.  Why?  Often the reason is conference affiliation, they simply assume that a bad SEC or Big Ten team is going to get better players than a top WAC or MWC school. But whether or not they actually do as is confirmed by how these players perform.  The results speak for themselves.  They aren't.

But let me guess, you discount those results, don't you? 

smiles_id
SinceDec 13, 2006
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Recruiting services like Rivals and Scout

February 7, 2013 12:20 am

Poor little Smiles....The whole world is lined up against his poor little team.  The whole od college football uses every means they have to keep his little team from being on top.  

Well at least they are able to win that little conference they are forced to play in every year without fail because their coach just knows how to coach his players up and because the team uses the fact the world is against them as motivation to win every game they play...


Oh wait...What ?!?!?


So they don't win every game and haven't won thet little conference every year ?!??!


OK...well, nevermind..... 
Tackling Dummy
SinceAug 9, 2012
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Recruiting services like Rivals and Scout

February 7, 2013 12:26 am

Thanks for the love, dummy, your avatar suits you.  Except Jerry was a lot smarter.  You write more like one of his kids.

Here is an article by Sports Illustrated's Andy Staples, who wholeheartedly agrees with my analysis.  Indeed, he argues that if you actually looked at on the field performance, the #68 ranked 2007 Boise State is really the #2 ranked class.  Read it yourself, if you can, of course.

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/20
10/writers/andy_staples/02/15/2007-
classes/index.html

This paragraph stands repeating:

"So how did the evaluators at Rivals -- and Scout and SI and everywhere else -- so badly underestimate this class? Simple. Boise State doesn't have a huge fan base. There aren't as many potential subscribers, so, from a business perspective, it doesn't make sense to spend as much time evaluating Boise State recruits as Alabama or Texas recruits. That's probably the biggest flaw in recruiting rankings; the teams outside the traditional power structure can be vastly underestimated. Because if you look only at the teams that traditionally finish in the top 15, the rankings are usually pretty accurate.
Read More: [http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/20
10/writers/andy_staples/02/15/2007-
classes/index.html#ixzz2KBijLk3u]"



smiles_id
SinceDec 13, 2006
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Recruiting services like Rivals and Scout

February 7, 2013 3:02 am

Thanks for the love, dummy, your avatar suits you.  Except Jerry was a lot smarter.  You write more like one of his kids.

Here is an article by Sports Illustrated's Andy Staples, who wholeheartedly agrees with my analysis.  Indeed, he argues that if you actually looked at on the field performance, the #68 ranked 2007 Boise State is really the #2 ranked class.  Read it yourself, if you can, of course.

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/20

10/writers/andy_staples/02/15/2007-

classes/index.html

This paragraph stands repeating:

"So how did the evaluators at Rivals -- and Scout and SI and everywhere else -- so badly underestimate this class? Simple. Boise State doesn't have a huge fan base. There aren't as many potential subscribers, so, from a business perspective, it doesn't make sense to spend as much time evaluating Boise State recruits as Alabama or Texas recruits. That's probably the biggest flaw in recruiting rankings; the teams outside the traditional power structure can be vastly underestimated. Because if you look only at the teams that traditionally finish in the top 15, the rankings are usually pretty accurate.
Read More: [http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/20

10/writers/andy_staples/02/15/2007-

classes/index.html#ixzz2KBijLk3u]"



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Tackling Dummy
SinceAug 9, 2012