I was thinking the same thing with the Nova line as well. And it got me wondering about something: When the public loves a dog and the line moves the other way, should I start to hammer the favorite? This happened twice last night with Marquette and Kansas State. The public liked both teams by about 60% - 40% and yet the line jumped.
A couple of games fit that bill tonight: VA Tech +14 vs. VA, Townson +4 vs. James Madison, Kentucky +10.5 vs. Florida, Villanova +7.5 vs. Cincy.
So the plays would be: Virginia, JMU, Florida and Cincy. I'm honestly not gonna touch any, except MAYBE Cincy. See how it goes.