Original LOCK Thread - 2/14/2013 - Post Your LOCK

I took liverpool as a pick .05+ for first game..they have strong line up

MINN-5  -120

Morning everyone had to sweat out that CSU lock which saved a medicore day for me. let's see if i can get one from the Pac12 or WCC tonight.

LOCK CSU -5.5 VS SANDIEGO ST. (winner)

This is their 2nd meeting of the year. Last time out the Rams took the Aztecs to overtime eventully falling be 7. This time they are back at home where they currently own the 3rd longest home winning streak at 26 games. It gets better as it will be an "Orange Out Night" tonight as well where they are also 3-0 the only times they have had this. The Orange out celebrates their hertitage with their original school colors of Orange and Green.
I look at the last meeting and CSU was down big at the half(17) and what impressed me is that they battled back to force overtime only to lose. CSU out rebounded them by 16 boards that game a trend that Ii am sure will continue tonight as CSU has one of best rebounding tandems in the country. The difference in the last game was the Aztecs made 13 three's at a 44% clip which I am banking will not happen tonight. CSU does not need the 3 ball to beat them as they pound the offensive glass and get alot of second chance points.I feel the 13 3's were a fluk concidering the Aztecs only average 5 3's on the road a game. As I said a few days ago the Mountain West is a very tough place to win on the road and I am sure Moby Arena will be rocking tonight. Also the Aztecs only 2 wins on the road in conference was against Nevada and Fresno St. 2 of the worst teams in the league.

Lock Record 2013 2-0-1

other plays
Creighton -2.5 ( what is up with this team of late)
New Mexico -7( Missed by one)
Air Force +3.5(easy winner)
Vandy-2(terrible pick)

Great job by the board yesterday! I went 1-1 so I am 6-2 now posting, but 0-0 on LOCKS. I will be posting my first lock for this year. I am locking up St. Marys +1 tonight. Wil have a writeup later, as I am going to work right now. gluck tonight and can't wait to see everyone else's plays. 

Rock, do like that under. The public is on the over, yet the line has dropped...gluck 

Morning guys.  Great job yesterday by the thread.  8-3-1 on LOCKS and I think several other high-profile plays that were widely-tailed.  Let's keep it going tonight!

Gman...great call on ur lock. Win is a win. Thanks for posting and giving opportunity to tail

Is CBS screwed up today?  Is anyone else having problems?

Level,

I know you lost your house and your only means of communicating now is the librarys computers so I doubt you will see this today but I really need some plays to fade as I have not wagered in 5 days and am starting to get desperate.  I want to win money and do not know how to unless I fade your posted plays here, please don't make me do something stupid tonight like tail someone or fade someone else.  I need your help bad bro, I hope you make it to the library today and read this.

Happy Valentine’s Day Fellas!  Hope you all are taking care of the special ladies in your lives!

Great job by the board last night.  Nothing like tailing some hot cappers to halt your downslide.  I will be looking to tail again this evening.  The information being shared has been spot on and MUCH APPRECIATED!! THANK YOU!

While I am nowhere near lock worthy at this point, I do like 2 plays:  tail or fade as you see fit.

1H UMASS +7 –With the pace they play and the amount of shots they put up, they are always in the game.  I do think they stay within the number for the whole game, and while they have been playing better as of late, they have been known to tank in the 2^nd half so I think this is the safer bet. 

1H OSU/NW OVER 56.5 – OSU coming off b2b losses against teams that I believe are actually better than them.  Still think we see an OSU team that looks to get back on track and get out early and often.  I don’t see NW as having the horses to stay with them.  They will try to slow it down to start, but will be forced to pick it up as they play from behind all night. 

Good Luck – and don’t forget the Roses!

SG2

What's up degens.  Went 1-0 in NBA yesterday with Toronto +8.5. Didn't bet too many games yesterday. Tailed a few NCAA picks in a parlay, was sadly disappointed La Salle not covering by half a point! Haha.

System Plays went 2-1 also yesterday
Brooklyn -1.5 *WINNER*
Under in 1H CHI/BOS 90.5 *WINNER*
Under in 1H LAC/HOU 104.5 *LOSER*

Will post my picks in a few. Maybe a lock after some research.

GL 

LOCK  CBB Denver -2.5<br /><br /><br />Utah St beat up on the bottom feeders of the conference but now face Denver, winners of 11 of their last 12, 10 of those victories by double digits,  9-1 ats their last 10, and 11-2 in conference play. Utah St is dealing with injuries to very key players. Medlin 16.2ppg, Reed 12.1ppg, Berger 7.6ppg.<br /><br />In the words of Utah coach Stew Morrill "denver can frustrate you" and " the last time we played they basically carved us up" Since that game their has been more injuries to Utah it will be too much for them as a rolling Denver comes in and takes care of business.<br /><br />

Tonight I am LOCKING the Miami Heat +5.5.  I honestly can't see why everyone is hammering OKC.  Few buddies of mine from work are all doing it & honestly it's just helping me out.  I first caught the line at 4.5 now bumped to 5.5.  I'll take it. Vegas is making it too easy by giving them 5 points.  OKC is great team at home but that shouldn't give them a 5 point advantage.  The way I see it the line should have been 1.5 IF THAT!! Lebron has just set an NBA record (I myself didn't know it even existed) this week.  He is playing at his highest capicity and all of the Miami Heat are playing well and doing their jobs. Westbrook is a loose cannon and if the game takes one bad turn he loses it.  Durantula is a phenom but NOBODY compares to LeBron.  All of the other betting sites are saying OKC deserves to win this game.  I don't give a hoot, maybe they do "deserve" to win after losing the last 5 of 6 meetings.  That does not mean that they will win this game. I see the Heat winning outright by a 5-6 point deficit. 

I will also be tailing St. Mary's +1 and also the Clippers -3

Goodluck tonight guys. Hope to hear more feedback on other games! 

with a late surge of road winners and ties I think the Europa fix experiment did not lose money (waiting to see tally) but not enough to try all the next road games

Top LOCKers for 2013 based on at least two LOCKS

Ranked based on -110/-100 bet ratio and resulting profit

CURRENT LOCK GOD
lock4u2 -- 11-2

LOCK ELITE
jaxfan100 -- 5-0
rockafella -- 5-1
NEGRIL JA. -- 6-2
StlCards2000 -- 3-0
gmanhall -- 3-0-1
LBJinSOBE -- 4-1-1
USC Holmey -- 4-1
georgec -- 4-1

PROFITABLE LOCKERS
Balls1 -- 2-0
jimmybigmits -- 2-0
ttownandy -- 2-0
vinceferragamo -- 2-0
brownsfan97 -- 2-1
CitizenDick74 -- 2-1
jperk429 -- 2-1
Disco Stu 231 -- 2-1
east coast bias -- 2-1
neci0170 -- 3-2-1
therainking -- 4-3
EAGLE EYE 5 -- 5-4
CrispskrillA -- 5-4


These are the LOCKers who are showing a profit after juice with at least two tracked LOCKS.  If you think I may have missed a posted LOCK (as long as it adhered to the LOCK parameters outlined in the first post of the thread) then please call it to my attention.

Also, if you are not on here but still want to know your LOCK record, please ask and I will post it for you, out in the open or via PM, whichever you prefer.

Good luck today!